Domen Prešern, also on bsky Profile picture
Jun 9, 2023 12 tweets 5 min read
1/
Day 4 - 🧵 on destruction of the dam and consequences stemming from it.

See yesterday's thread below: 2/
@radiosvoboda has published an SBU intercept of Russian military communications.

The intercept suggests Russians blew up the dam intentionally, but intended for lesser damage. Take that as you will

radiosvoboda.org/a/news-viyska-…
Jun 8, 2023 26 tweets 10 min read
1/
New day, new flooding 🧵

Yesterday's thread is linked below, touching on:
🔹Russian scorched earth policy in action
🔹Irrigation
🔹Extent/consequences of flooding and response
🔹How dams collapse
🔹Thoughts on Russian propagandists' thoughts

2/
Key point from yesterday - local expert says explosion had to have come from inside the dam.

Jun 7, 2023 26 tweets 11 min read
1/
Time for a new🧵 - news and thoughts regarding the blasted dam will be collated below.

The previous thread on:
🔹flood maps
🔹flooding
🔹consequences to military plans
🔹humanitarian disaster
🔹most importantly: Russian scorched earth policy in action

2/
There was an explosion. @VVoytsitska told us as much, graphs seem to likewise.

Jun 6, 2023 9 tweets 4 min read
Twitter is now being flooded with flooding scenarios. @OSINTMISCIF is correct to label this as a "worst case scenario". That graphic is from scaremongering Russian telegram from October. Indeed - a worst case scenario.

However ... (continued)

1/4

I would suggest you read this thread from @osint_east to explain things:

2/4

Jun 4, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
🇭🇺

Patriarch Kirill awarded Orban with an Order of Glory and Honour I. class on the occasion of his 60th birthday, for doing a good job for Hungary and defending Christian values.

It is also the anniversary of Orban preventing EU personal sanctions being levied against Kirill🤔 Source, 2 Jun 2023: index.hu/belfold/2023/0…

Source 2, 2 Jun 2022: euronews.com/my-europe/2022…
Feb 5, 2023 13 tweets 3 min read
1/ Let me flesh this out a little bit in a short 🧵.

I don’t think this is the most likely end. Don't bother replying with "It won't happen!", I already agree. But it is a possibility, a thought experiment going past where most discussions ever would.

2/ The next few tweets are a preface. Setting the stage. Skip to tweet #8 for the novelty.

First, remember that the full-scale Russian genocidal invasion of Ukraine is a *war of choice* waged by a country with *an Orwellian society*. For 🇺🇦 it’s not, it’s an existential war.
Jan 11, 2023 5 tweets 3 min read
Now, on #Leopardsgiving, as #Panzerwende has arrived, it is time to start studying up again! Dear friend of the @MriyaReport has put together some threads detailing the details of the many versions of Leopards - see below @Charlesrei1 @GJStathakis @eDrotning @DaftWhiskyPilot: Leo 1s: