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Will Jennings Profile picture
Will Jennings
@drjennings
I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, trust.
Gary Gibbon Profile picture 1 subscribed
May 5, 2023 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Labour has continued to make larger gains in areas with fewer university graduates, while the Conservatives are going back fastest in areas with more... #LocalElections2023 @SkyNews Image @SkyNews This pattern maps onto the Brexit vote. Labour has enjoyed largest gains in wards that voted to Leave the EU in 2016, while the Conservatives have experienced biggest losses in areas that voted to Remain. Image
May 4, 2023 • 6 tweets • 6 min read
Will be crunching #LocalElections2023 numbers tonight into the small hours and then tomorrow... we'll be analysing data from thousands of wards. Look out for our @SkyNews data visualisations via @gurpreetnarwan @EdConwaySky as results come in. @SkyNews @gurpreetnarwan @EdConwaySky If you want to remember what happened last year, read this post mortem by @DanielJDunford and me from 2022. news.sky.com/story/from-the…
May 2, 2023 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
Important analysis from @BethRigby ahead of the local elections - noting the historical pattern of swing back towards the government after the final local elections before a general election. Image @BethRigby Of course, we may yet have a further round of local elections in May 2024 before the next general election. Also note that the smallest recoveries from local elections were experienced at what were widely considered to be 'change' elections - 1979 and 1997.