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Dwarkesh Patel Profile picture
Dwarkesh Patel
@dwarkesh_sp
Host of @dwarkeshpodcast https://t.co/3SXlu7fy6N https://t.co/4DPAxODFYi https://t.co/hQfIWdM1Un
Jun 2, 2025 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
New blog post where I explain why I disagree with this, and why I have slightly longer timelines to AGI than many of my guests.

I think continual learning is a huge bottleneck to the usefulness of these models, and extended computer use may take years to sort out.

L-nk below. Image When we do solve human like continual learning, however, we might see a broadly deployed intelligence explosion *even if there's no more algorithmic progress*.

Simply from the AI amalgamating the on-the-job experience of all the copies broadly deployed through the economy. Image
Apr 21, 2025 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
New blog post: Questions about the future of AI

A 6,000-word clusterfuck of considerations about economics, history, training, investment, and more.

Thread of select questions below: Image Why don't we spend more on RL? Image
Jan 31, 2025 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
New post

Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ - they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled, and evolved in ways humans simply can't.

I talk about how a firm of AGIs might work.

1. Copy Image 2. Merge Image
Mar 4, 2024 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
Some notes I wrote while reading Part 1 of Daniel Yergin’s The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power.

If you know Yergin, tell him I'd love to have him on my podcast! Image The scaling laws paper moment in oil: Image
Nov 21, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
I still haven't heard a good answer to this question, on or off the podcast.

AI researchers often tell me, "Don't worry bout it, scale solves this."

But what is the rebuttal to someone who argues that this indicates a fundamental limitation? Image Full episode, for those interested:

Oct 30, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I read a lot of books for my podcast & blog.

But often I can't finding the particular passage I'm looking for.

Ctrl-F doesn't work unless you know the exact phrase.

So I built search for ebooks using OpenAI's embeddings API.

Link below to use.

Works surprisingly well! colab.research.google.com/drive/1PDT-jho…
Oct 11, 2022 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
I've been using OpenAI's Whisper model to generate initial drafts of transcripts for my podcast.

But Whisper doesn't identify speakers. So I stitched it to a speaker recognition model.

Code is below in case it's useful to you. Let me know how it can be made more accurate. colab.research.google.com/drive/1V-Bt5Hm…
Oct 10, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
.@AlvaroDeMenard is one of my best bloggers out there.

Here are excerpts from my favorite posts:

"Are Experts Real?" Image "Having Had No Predecessor to Imitate, He Had No Successor Capable of Imitating Him" Image