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M.E. Sarotte Profile picture
M.E. Sarotte
@e_sarotte
Out now in e-book, hardback, and audiobook—NOT ONE INCH: America, Russia, and the Making of Post-Cold War Stalemate. @SAISHopkins @EuropeAtHarvard
Jan 11, 2022 • 22 tweets • 11 min read
On Jan. 10, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov insisted that Ukraine “never, never, ever” join NATO.

What is the history behind possible Ukrainian membership in NATO? That history goes back a LONG way…

A historical thread.

[THREAD]

nytimes.com/2022/01/10/wor… Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union, but began pulling away in the course of 1991. Ukrainians voted on whether to become independent on Dec. 1, 1991. With 84% turnout, the vote was over 90% in favor of independence. In no voting district was support for independence below 50%.
Jan 10, 2022 • 15 tweets • 9 min read
Ahead of talks starting Jan. 10, Moscow insisted that NATO “not deploy military forces and weaponry on the territory of any of the other States in Europe in addition to the forces stationed on that territory as of 27 May 1997.”

Why that date?

A teaching thread.

[THREAD] On Dec. 17, 2021, Russia circulated two proposed treaties: one for the US, one for NATO. The “27 May 1997” demand appeared in the latter.

mid.ru/print/?id=1790…
Dec 24, 2021 • 25 tweets • 8 min read
“‘Not one inch to the East,’ they told us in the 90s. So what? They cheated, just brazenly tricked us!”
— Putin during his Dec. 23, 2021 press conference.

Following @PaulPoast’s fine example again, here is a teaching thread, a.k.a. #PoastPost

reuters.com/world/europe/r… Putin claims that Western leaders promised Moscow in 1990 that NATO would not move one inch eastward, that is, stay frozen on its eastern Cold War front line. What did Westerners want in exchange? Moscow’s permission to let divided Germany unify after the Berlin Wall opened. Image
Dec 18, 2021 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Today Russia appears to have named its price for not launching the largest land invasion since World War II: Getting in writing two things it didn’t get in writing in the 1990s.

Following the fine example of @ProfPaulPoast, a teaching...

[THREAD]

washingtonpost.com/world/2021/12/… First, Putin wants a binding written agreement that NATO won’t expand eastward. Secretary of State Baker made hypothetical remarks to this effect to Soviet leader Gorbachev in 1990. But as Russian Foreign Minister Primakov later regretted, Gorbachev didn’t get it in writing.