Architecture and history enthusiast. Hetman Petro Sahaidachnyi Academy.
I will clear all followers and posts occasionally, sorry.
Apr 23, 2024 • 14 tweets • 2 min read
I made, a guide on ranges of the various systems/projectiles used in the war, since this is perhaps a most common requests on DM. It is organized with category 155mm (separate tow and propel), 152mm, other caliber, and finally MLR (including guided)
155MM HOWITZER RANGES APPLICABLE:
I want to make a tread about various ABM systems and associated threats, particularly Iskander, Kinzhal, ATACMS, and capabilities of systems like S-300V, S-500, PAC-3, with some notes.
S-300V1 is the primary ABM system the ZSU deploys, and operates a substantial number of them. For instance, in a single year alone (2018), a full brigade of them (32 launchers) was repaired.
Mar 4, 2023 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
I will be offline again for some period, but I wanted to make a few comments/opinions, in a short thread:
1. On the upcoming "spring offensive". What offensive? There will very likely not be one by then, sorry. This hallucination exists mainly in media and twitter.
2. The currently pledged (insufficient) battalions will barely be ready by May (at earliest), not to mention it is a mess of barely compatible systems. Everything else pledged drags years deep, into 2024/2025. This also assumes no "fading pledges" and bullshit promises.
Nov 28, 2022 • 12 tweets • 2 min read
I think it is worth making a thread addressing some common misconceptions about the war. While well-intentioned, there is a lot of "rosy/idealized" thinking lately. I will try to list some major ones I can think of:
- Footages of tanks/APCs/etc getting hit by art are seen with extreme selection bias. There are thousands of misses for every hit. Sometimes, teams will hunt a single vehicle for days.
- There is nowhere close to a parity in artillery, overall I'd still say it's 7:1 RU advantage
Oct 20, 2022 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
I am wanting to make a thread on some speculations here. In essence, addressing the situation with the west bank of Kherson, and the ongoing rumors of a "soon complete withdrawal". This will NOT be the case, at least not for the entire bridgehead. I will explain in long:
In the current configuration, Kherson city itself has a diminished value, in a military sense. The main value of the west bank Kherson area (as a whole) is to delay ZSU actions on Nova Kakhovka, which is an enormous risk to Krim. I have spoken of this risk in previous postings.
Oct 3, 2022 • 7 tweets • 1 min read
A thread for some general comments this morning:
- There is too little attention on the area north of Svatove. Things have developed well, but most maps show almost nothing. For example, I have mentioned Kyslivka 3 days ago and Arapivka 2 days ago, but rumors are just starting (eg. Kyslivka). See previous messages for details.
