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daniel a. smith Profile picture
daniel a. smith
@electionsmith
political science professor; state politics scholar (direct democracy, voting, elections); cynic, skeptic, & part-time africanist; personal musings
Nov 16, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
In light of the GA lawsuit over SOS Raffensperger's latest decision to prohibit early in-person on Saturday, Nov 26, in advance of the Dec 6 runoff election, it might be worthwhile to post who actually votes on Saturdays in GA elections. This is from a paper with Michael Herron. Image There are eight panels in Fig 1, one per election. Each panel is labeled with a year and an election type and contains seven points, which represent days of the week.
Nov 7, 2022 • 13 tweets • 2 min read
As of this morning in FL, 32.5% of all registered Ds have voted EIP or VBM; that's 4.5 percentage points _less_ than Rs. Only 20.2% of NPAs have turned out so far. Outstanding domestic/non-military VBM ballots have to arrive by 7pm tomorrow. In past GEs, Election Day GOTV has favored Rs in FL. I don't see any indication of it being different tomorrow. But if it is, I we'll know pretty early on, as it will inevitably result in long lines in some traditionally D strongholds.
Nov 5, 2022 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
A Florida VBM update:

Nearly 16,200 VBM ballot return envelopes have been flagged with a problem as of this morning in FL. That's almost 0.7% of all VBM ballots received by SOEs so far. Voters have until Thursday at 5pm to file a VBM cure affidavit with their SOE. Rejection rates for Republicans and Democrats are nearly identical. No Party Affiliates have a rejection rate of nearly 1%.