I'm quitting alcohol for a year in 2022. Short thread on why I'm doing it, and why you should consider quitting as well. First off, some data: I had alcohol 68 times last year. Here's my log:

I finished @nntaleb's Real World Risk Institute (#RWRI) two-week program this past week, and it was one of the most insightful, intellectually challenging, and fun learning experiences I've had in a long time.

Here's a thread with 10 very practical things I learned 🧵 1. Most real-world risk comes from fat tails.

WTF is a fat tail?

A fat-tailed system is one that is governed by a power law distribution (as opposed to a gaussian distribution).

In a fat-tailed system, one single event drives all the outcomes.

1/10: I turn 35 this year, so I’ve been researching what I should do in order to minimize risk of death at 35, while optimizing for longevity - aka do things now that will have a positive impact on my health for when I'm 65 years old. A thread on my learnings: 2/10: First off - disclaimer: This post summarizes my opinion on the topic, backed by research papers with large effects on (mostly) large sample sizes. That said, I am not a medical professional, and this post is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease.