America is hurtling towards a demographic disaster.

Our birth rates have been declining for decades. In 2023, they hit an all-time record low.

President Trump ran on a "new baby boom." This week, the New York Times covered the plan to help deliver it.

A few takeaways. 🧵 In 2023, our fertility rate fell to just 1.62 births per woman—well below the 2.1 replacement rate needed to maintain our population.

If nothing changes, America faces a future of shrinking families and communities, economic and cultural stagnation, and national decline.

Vanessa Brown Calder, a director at the Cato Institute, recently published a blog calling into question the validity of my research claims on IVF.

Let's set the record straight 👇 Calder placed ideology over good methodology and relied on a) old data from the United Kingdom; b) misrepresented what my claims were and “debunked” a red herring; and c) equated recommended guidelines with legally enforceable laws.

🧵 China’s birth rates are declining to the point of no return.

American’s should pay careful attention: their decline is the direct result of targeted policies meant to reduce the number of children born.

China’s one-child policy and career focused model worked all too well. China’s National Bureau of Statistics documented 9 million births in 2023, a stark contrast to the 17 million births in 2017. Further, China recorded 11 million deaths in 2023, resulting in an overall population decline of 2 million people (about the population of New Mexico).

🧵 A Review of Protestant Denominations and their Stance on Reproductive Technology.

Most Protestant denominations still lack a biblically informed stance on childbearing, infertility, and the most basic reproductive technology, such as IVF, surrogacy, and stem cell research. Protestants hold a central place in America’s political and institutional life, their denominations’ positions on contemporary bioethical questions play a key role in determining the way that new scientific innovations are integrated into the moral framework of the American mind.

🧵A quick look at what we know and don't know when it comes to studies on surrogacy. 👇

Despite what many experts want you to believe, we actually know very little about the impact of surrogacy on the long term wellbeing of children and families.

Studies do exist analyzing birth weight, multiples, preterm births, and the variety of birth defects that accompany children born of IVF. See @JenniferLahl for more on this.

American policymakers need to get serious about countering the threat from communist China. The House China Select Committee has announced it will be investigating Chinese investment in various U.S. industries. It's time to examine the Chinese “rent-a-womb” industry in America. Increasingly, Chinese nationals are using American surrogates to bear their children. Thanks to in vitro fertilization, they don’t even need to leave China.

The worst part is that Washington has no idea who these children or their parents are.