The @GOP casts Harris/Walz as too liberal for most Americans—and the press is often game to grant the premise that the Dems are to the left of the average voter.

But the opposite is true: Republicans are the ones pushing unpopular policy.

Read on for data. 🧵

1/14 UNIVERSAL SCHOOL BREAKFAST AND LUNCH

Harris/Walz: In favor
Republicans: No, that’s socialism
Americans: 57% in favor



2/14chalkbeat.org/2023/9/7/23863…

Bc I'm still getting flack for not apologizing to @Noahpinion after doubting his reasons for calling a recent hoax a hoax, and because I've wanted to learn more about Bayes—I ran analyses aimed at disconfirming my intuitions. Read on in the unlikely event that this interests you! My intuition was that the success of Noah's prediction provided little new evidence for the validity of the attributes he used to justify his guess (a grammatical mistake and a bad drawing).

But I could be wrong.

Should I be persuaded that Noah is a good hoax detector?

Seeing all this nonsense about DEI and airline safety (and because I was bored), I merged demographic data about pilots with data about air crash deaths. Complete info was available for 2010–2022.

This is what I found re: the relationship between race and crash mortality.

1/ The correlation between the yearly number of air crash deaths and the proportion of pilots that are white is:

r = +.68

The higher the percentage of white pilots in a year, the more deaths.

2/

New paper!

Working-class people show greater "social attunement" than their higher-class counterparts—better empathic accuracy, perspective-taking, emotion reading, and human-directed visual attention.

In this work we examine memory for human faces.

bit.ly/3UctaMa

1/ The relationship between class and social attunement is thought to reflect cultural differences between classes:

Lower-class individuals are theorized to possess relatively *interdependent* selfways fostering attention to other people as "motivationally relevant" entities.

2/

I’m so excited to share this paper by @shahrgoudarzi, V Badaan and me—just out in Perspectives on Psychological Science.

How do humans decide how resources should be allocated in society? The answer has tended to be dominated by Equity Theory (ET).

bit.ly/395zB10

1/ ET asserts that people make distributive-fairness judgments using the equity rule, according to which benefits and burdens are apportioned depending on people’s merits (talent, ability, and hard work).

Our work challenges ET’s hold over the study of distributive fairness.

2/

New preprint on the politics of the COVID pandemic. Using geo-location data for ~17M smartphones per day, we find that the greater a county's Trump lean in 2016, the less residents physically distanced from 3/9-5/8.

psyarxiv.com/t3yxa/

Thread with details. We surmised that these political differences would lessen as the pandemic wore on, and as more red states enacted stay-at-home orders. We were wrong on both counts: the partisan gap increased as the pandemic wore on, and red counties were less affected by state-level lockdowns.

Excited to share new work led by @pia_dietze. In it, we find that social class is inversely related to Theory of Mind (ToM) performance in adults.
1/6

bit.ly/3cT8oLu We first show that higher social class is associated with poorer performance on @sbaroncohen's Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test, which has people infer emotions based on photos of actors' eyes. This confirms a relationship first reported by @mwkraus and colleagues.
2/6

Here's something @lindatropp and I are working on. In a nationally representative panel of 2,425 Whites, respondents increasingly believe that minorities are *working together* again their interests ("minority collusion"). The overall trend is driven by Republicans and Independents. Because the scale midpoint is 0, it's apparent that all political groups tended to reject the idea of minority collusion in 2015. By 2018, (only) White Republicans had come to endorse this belief.