Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
ettingermentum Profile picture
ettingermentum
@ettingermentum
Bush lied people died @roomcguire❤️
Aug 28 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
rt 🔐: important point Image Fuentes has been smart insofar that he’s correctly realized that Trump’s popularity has tanked with young voters (his target audience) and that he has nothing to lose by appealing to that new pool given that the GOP will never fuck with him no matter how much he stays in line.
Aug 12 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
The one popular politician in the country being a guy who is going all-in on 2017 leftism…actually too scary. You know that this entire trip was 1000% his own idea because any self-respecting young leftist staffer gave up on the idea of WV as fertile ground for the revolution at least half a decade ago.
Aug 8 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
DSA electoral college lol I feel like this debate would be much better served if the people arguing in favor of the delegate system would just say that they think it’s better because they know better than the mass membership. It’s not like that’s some unheard-of consideration in voting system design.
Aug 7 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
rt🔒 Image Granted this is pretty similar to them holding on to 2020 Woke for years after the fact even when electorates as lib as NYC Democrats were voting for guys like Eric Adams.
Jul 19 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Irt AOC: from a clinical standpoint, Zohran showed that you can totally avoid spats online by just never mentioning or explaining moderation. When he left his shift on policing unstated, nobody cared, while writers who explicitly said they liked what he was doing got pilloried. When you just avoid bringing up sore spots with your supporters, it puts the impetus on others to start an outrage cycle, which often is perceived as wrecker behavior and pisses people off. But when you light the spark yourself it gets rid of that barrier entirely.
Jul 16 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
This is fucking unreal lmfao. The candidate who won in a landslide was endorsed by Bernie and AOC! The person who lost was a Harris 2020 staffer! The actual establishment DMFI guy came in third!!!! What are we doing here?
Jun 28 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I think the thing with Clinton is that a big part of charisma comes as part as a candidate’s ability to position themselves as an individual against a system. That was possible when he was running against a more liberal Dem establishment but is a lot harder today. Holding all the intangible things that make someone compelling equal, it’s just very difficult to endear yourself to people if you’re only representing institutions. Those institutions will always overshadow you!
Jun 26 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Notice how they define “wokeness” or “leftism” along the lines of just banging your head against the wall with unpopular positions. This lets them define any campaign that’s not outright insane as following their “ideas.” Arguing that leftists can NEVER win and that we need to worship Bill Clinton forever because they’ll all campaign in bell hooks quotes and then saying “wow I was right all along” when they don’t do that and win.
Dec 13, 2024 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Nobody brings it up because nobody trusts polling anymore but if you look at the national average this election you clearly see Harris shedding two points (i.e., the margin in WI, MI, PA and GA) after early September, which is around when she started the Liz Cheney world tour. The narrative has been so centered around her uphill battle and the headwinds and whatnot that nobody has ever accused her people of blowing a lead. But if you take the polls literally, they…blew a lead.
Nov 7, 2024 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
These states voting D at the Senate level, plus NC Dems winning half of the state’s statewide contests, means that non-Harris Democrats won in enough states to get over 270 electoral votes. This was an electorate Ds could have won with—they just didn’t want Biden or Harris. Even in states that didn’t split, downballot Dems outran Kamala across the board. Maryland, where the popular moderate former Governor Larry Hogan ran, was the sole exception. Image
Nov 6, 2024 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
From this to the Selzer poll to special elections, all of the big indicators that succeeded at clocking Trump’s strength in 2016 and 2020 went totally bust this year. Nate Cohn was absolutely right; turnout dynamics have changed too much to use them as a baseline as I did. The likely cause of this appears to be Dobbs causing Dems to solidify their strength with high-prop, high-engagement voters in a way that prevented those groups from depicting shifts in attitudes as they did in the past.
Oct 3, 2024 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
I don't think it's recognized yet just how dangerous it is to have a Democratic candidate practically outsourcing her foreign policy to neocon think tanks like CNAS while parading around her Dick Cheney endorsement. In 2019, Kamala’s top foreign policy advisor was Michèle Flournoy, who supported war in Iraq, Libya, and Syria, and was nearly Hillary Clinton's Defense Secretary. Flournoy was endorsed for that role by Iraq War architects Paul Wolfowitz and Bill Kristol inthesetimes.com/article/center…
Apr 23, 2024 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
Thread of these images Image Image
Apr 25, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
he should have thought about staying true to his mission instead of scoffing at every single objection to his priors for an entire election cycle and including firms run by literal high schoolers called “patriot polls” in his models because they fit those priors. but oh well. he blew three of the most pivotal senate races of the election, forecasted overall chamber control wrong and massively overrated Republican strength in the house. he did worse than both other statistical models and subjective raters. like I’m sorry but you need to deliver.
Apr 25, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Biden was born closer to Abraham Lincoln’s presidency than his own, and was a teenager while Civil War veterans were alive. During his first campaign for the U.S. Senate, he shared a ballot with Richard Nixon and campaigned on a “a quick end to the Vietnam war”. He also allegedly received help from the Irishman from The Irishman. When he entered the U.S. Senate, Franco was in power in Spain and Portugal still had colonies in Africa. As a Senator, he served in Congress with six colleagues born in the 1800s and met Josip Broz Tito.
Apr 23, 2023 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Feeling more vindicated than I ever have in my entire life over my distrust over empiricism in polisci after seeing that Terry Moe works at the Hoover Institution. THE APPLICATION OF GAME THEORY AND DENIGRATION OF HISTORICAL ANALYSIS WAS NEVER SINCERE. IT WAS ALL A VILE MONOCRAT SCHEME TO PROPAGANDIZE THE PRESIDENCY AS THE SOLE LEGITIMATE POLITICAL ACTOR IN THE FACE OF A REDISTRIBUTIVIST CONGRESS. WAKE UP!!!!!!!!!