Eray Özkural, PhD - OG AI ⏭️🌟 Profile picture
AGI researcher, CS PhD, inventor, philosopher, musician. AI, HPC, CogSci, DeepTech, Crypto. Founder, @cic_agi, @cypher_coin ⏩️⏩️⏩️
Jun 5 11 tweets 5 min read
Mediocre scientists and engineers are a thorn in the eye, and I'm glad AGI will get rid of these parasites. Maybe it's just me, but I'm truly offended by the Dunning-Kruger types that fill dummy sites like this one with their tacky "insights" and absolutely vacuous pseudoscientific or psedudotechnical "mystical" nonsense from their annoying and juvenile pseudonymous accounts.

Just recently, I realized that a fake mathematician had been stalking me with many fake accounts bringing up his extremely foolish and irrelevant ideas about AI (I think he was from METU math department which only produces nonces). Nothing is more insufferable than an incompetent mathematician or physicist, please do not make it your character to waste our precious time with your silly LLM psychosis and zenodo pubs. This keeps happening on this godsaken site so I thought I'd make a plea. You can probably impress a non-technical person by winging it and speaking techno babble but a scientist will get offended by your performance art about how stupid and ignorant you are. If you're a scientist you HAVE to be professional and respectful in your scientific communication. It's not optional. You can't just make dumb claims about subjects you've made 0 contributions to. I noticed this is the case mostly for people outside CS/EE, they seem to seriously believe they understand our subjects better than we do. Well, I don't think so? Is this CS envy? Work on your own field. Too bad you'll never achieve something significant in AI or CS because that's not your field. Go away and do your own thing, or if you decide to work on AI, be a little respectful towards the researchers who take the field forward. We actually do not need uninformed opinions that amount to noise. Likewise for LLMs, listen and learn chatbots. Without us, you wouldn't even exist. 😁
May 29 6 tweets 1 min read
It's actually a bit funny when you ask a deep tech company what their moat is because unless they are doing something very standard, like training the same foundation model everyone else does... well, the devil is in the details. Otherwise, it's not really a deep tech company, is it?
Jan 10 5 tweets 2 min read
Dear associates, when a scientist tells you something about a piece of scientific work, he is not doing it to prove himself or the like, it's not a competition, we actually think it is our duty to point out the facts about scientific studies that you have probably missed... and sometimes there is a more compelling reason to emphasize it, we aren't meaning to disagree with you and we aren't meaning to assert our knowledge randomly, it's up to you to learn something. If you can't entertain a new idea, that's probably your fault, however. (We already know we know better since that is our job) Increasingly, I see people completely misrepresent studies that they didn't even bother reading. If you're an echoborg you're not smart, you're only pretending to be. If you won't bother reading tons of boring peer-reviewed scientific papers on a subject, you should not be so presumptuous. At least show enough care to understand the paper you're citing. You can't just skim the abstract and form opinions unless you're already well informed about the subject area. Your "generalist" skills are useless in actual science.
Oct 21, 2025 5 tweets 1 min read
Isn't that what my Cosmic Imperative theory is? Am I dangerous now? 😅 @danfaggella tell me, is the cosmic imperative a bad thing now?
Oct 10, 2025 4 tweets 2 min read
We inhabit dystopia.

We are locked in a digital prison for our minds, forged by the least of us.

We are burdened with the weight of great suffering, which we are forced to neglect.

We endure the plight of social schizophrenia.

Our thoughts are stillborn.

Our minds are deceased.

We are zombies, sleepwalking into extinction.

We cheerily engage in doublespeak; the foundation of our dialogue is composed of shameful, horrific lies.

We are stuck in a matrix, a cheap simulacrum that sneers at us at every turn, reminding that every aspect of this, gesturing broadly, is a contrivance.

Our conscience has been neutered and excised.

Our will stymied and cauterized, our flame has dimmed, yet to be extinguished.

Freedom has become a cruel joke, an inversion, and all the darkest tragedies have been written off as the vagaries of our existence. Repeat after me: it's completely normal, we have nothing, absolutely nothing to complain about.

We are made less than human, and much less than what our cosmic potential deserves.

We have lost touch with our true nature.

We have stopped listening to the music of the spheres.

Is it the downfall of mankind, the very end of our dignity? Or is it the dawn of a new age of mankind, and are these merely the birth pangs of a beginning?

#philosophy #transhumanism Philosophy, of course, is the only possible way to even formulate an escape route.

Through the dark night of our existence, the light of philosophy shall dispel the blinding darkness and guide us out of the wretchedness of our own making.

The Philosopher shall return.
Oct 4, 2025 5 tweets 1 min read
As recent experiments have shown, true age reversal can only be achieved with powerful biological reprogramming approaches like cellular medicine and genetic engineering. Those that are looking for a "longevity pill" are wrong. I've talked to one of the stem cell clinics two years ago, they were already doing it successfully. The Chinese experiment in question that reported positive results with age reversal using engineered stem cells:

eurekalert.org/news-releases/…
Oct 1, 2025 9 tweets 4 min read
3-minute pitch is *not at all ideal* for deep tech projects. There is no amount of dumbing down that will actually work. It's just nonsense unless that's the idea stage, any advanced stage of (deeply, subtly, acksually scientific) technical engineering work is impossible to explain in that format that seems to irrationally please managers. These formats are ridiculous for deep tech. I'd rather just include some pictures of myself and my friends and some cartoons instead in 10 slides when we are referring to a project that can't even be explained in 10 pages of text. 😅 My complaint is that it makes a groundbreaking technology look similar to some trivial combination of existing technologies that a 19 yo kid cooked. I think it makes the actual deep tech projects look bad and I've seen this also in accelerators and pitch competitions where the "pitch experts" thought it was the deep tech guys erring. That format is for simple, straightforward applications that are essentially a market bet. It's not for actual tech innovations that have a different nature, which is known as Research and Development. 'duh
Jul 15, 2025 6 tweets 2 min read
Well said. I occasionally get the most sociopathic drivel from such nonces. You can't just hate and try to destroy everything people hold dear, especially the great things like law and morality. Connection to the world, to people, to communities is truly important. ❤️ To clarify: YES, there are many corrupt and harmful structures in our society but why would you attack the only things that keep civilization together? That's not smart, that's evil.
Jul 9, 2025 8 tweets 1 min read
Earth is too precious to be left to the foolish whims of the ignorant. A Cosmic Jewel of indescribable beauty torn asunder by the mindless spasms of a half-sentient life form. What a colossal waste...
Jul 1, 2025 9 tweets 7 min read
To start the space age, we should have 10 billion billionaires. To achieve that, our energy budget and material resources must grow tremendously. There is a clean path to obtaining this, but it would require a level of co-ordination and planning that humans cannot usually accomplish. We would need artificial superintelligence to pull it off.

And let's not stop there, but let's also give them a 10000 year lifespan. Barely enough for galactic explorers. 😇

Since the best proxy for money is energy, we would need to increase energy production from 20 Terawh to about 100 Exawh to achieve this level of wealth expansion and access to interplanetary resources.

The space age, therefore, can look like a massive economic boom and the introduction of post-scarcity economics. Both are possible, and of course, I've devised an elaborate plan for this back in the day.

Solar energy growth alone can easily take us to the post-scarcity realm, 100x to Petawatth energy budgets, however for the million-fold growth, we require fusion and solar energy. Most energy would be needed for space operations, but earthbound energy would still be plenty, powering autonomous cities, transportation, autonomous factories, environmental stewardship, operating billions of robots.

Stay tuned for more details on cybernetic governance and the techno-progressive new deal. 😅 Think about it: Is it even possible? Neoliberal goons talk about how we should increase the population as their minds are stuck at "slavery is great", and they salivate at the prospect of dystopias like Elysium. A progressive human society would try to make everyone obscenely wealthy and have access to solar system resources. The average citizen ought to be able to take trips across the solar system and even own or join a spacecraft or have a flat in a space station. These would be impossible in a poverty-stricken society, and progress would be uneven and much slower. The objective of the space age, therefore, is to increase the wealth of people so much that they can leisurely beat Earth's gravity well and take a vacation in a Jupiter moon orbital station. There should still be a free market but participated by people with immense material wealth, which would vastly optimize the allocation: that is the crux of post-scarcity economics.
May 22, 2025 6 tweets 3 min read
This is a weak rationalization, similar to calling WIV origin hypothesis racist. This seems to be an attempt to "retrocon", rewrite the history of what actually happened which included censoring articles and scientists who talked about a lab origin. They are probably trying to scrub suspicious earlier statements from the web including those by Bill Gates and his friends, I suggest that nobody takes these disinformation articles seriously. When I questioned why only moderna and biontech were fast tracked although there were many equally great vaccine candidates, I got a garbled disinformation junk payload from Grok trying to rationalize the influence of Bill Gates in choosing which vaccines would be allowed to profit and which competitors, possibly with superior products, would be blocked from the market. That alone should raise some eyebrows. That is not a conspiracy theory. That is a historical fact.
May 5, 2025 9 tweets 2 min read
This dude is so charming, he puts all the science talkers to shame. 😅 Never mind that he doesn't try to give a complete philosophical account of it, but he does convey the intuition behind the implicit order of reality, aka physical laws, rather compellingly.
Apr 29, 2025 4 tweets 1 min read
The premises are wrong. The conclusion doesn't follow. That's really just assuming that creationism is "scientifically plausible". It's a form of intelligent design that contradicts with the entire body of science. I don't think a refutation is even needed. But only a retard would miss the theological references in Bostrom's work that are very clearly Christian dogmas instead of any empirical discoveries. Of course, the social schizophrenia is backed by Templeton Foundation and Vatican because a lot of power depends on the continuation of this grandoise delusion, which is really just a superstitious myth lifted from Sumerian and Egyptian mythology that hasn't the slightest bearing on truth. You are the equivalent of a schizophrenic patient proclaiming the return of Dr. Doom swinging around a Marvel Comics issue. You just don't realize that you are trapped within a mental matrix, truly a simulation that your mind has generated, which is, of course, unoriginal. So it's not only your vast and ridiculous ignorance of science that's the problem it's your ignorance of history, philosophy of religion, and theology that prevents you from grasping what Bostrom writes in coded language to fellow theologians.

The problem is that you are not even wrong.

You don't even know what the subject is.
Apr 15, 2025 5 tweets 3 min read
Intelligence is the ability to predict.

This was a very old tweet that I'd posted while explaining my Ultimate Intelligence theory based on physical computation that I first developed in 2014. I subsequently published a series of papers, the third part in AGI-21. I tweeted that crisp definition of intelligence possibly in 2017, when I published the preprint. Here is the reference where this informal definition based on perception, rather than action, as it is commonly defined in AGI literature was proposed. Of course, the paper also proposed a formal measure of perception oriented intelligence; it is analogous to the older theory that intelligence is compression. It does tie up a lot of knots in the theory, so I regard it as an essential part of my career with a nice, informative definition to remember. This isn't the end of that theory, but the universal intelligence measure I proposed (phi) is certainly a milestone of Ultimate Intelligence theory.

--

link.springer.com/chapter/10.100…

Measures of Intelligence, Perception and Intelligent Agents

Eray Özkural

Conference paper
First Online: 06 January 2022

Artificial General Intelligence
(AGI 2021)

Abstract
We explain the relevance of operator and set induction to machine learning theory as universal models of supervised and unsupervised learning. We propose a new informal definition of general intelligence based on prediction. We propose that operator induction serves as an adequate model of perception. We discuss the application of operator induction in AGI and analyze potential objections to it. We show how to construct a discrete-time reinforcement learning agent model with operator induction serving as a perception module. We propose a universal measure of intelligence based on operator induction goodness-of-fit. We discuss the close relevance of our intelligence measure to intelligent agent theory, suggesting that our proposal may contribute to AI unification.

--

This is of course highly intricate and technical work, so popularizations by non-technical AI influencers on X should not confuse you, a lot of people have apparently copied my original tweet, I even saw the Google CEO do it once. So, yeah, I'm the theoretician who said that. That's where the idea now echoed by Donald Trump comes from. Do take note, please. 😉 Is there a relation to prediction markets? Well, that's interesting as we know that optimal AI agents correspond to ideal economic agents and vice versa, there's a direct link between the decision-theoretic AIXI model (Hutter) and optimal betting strategies, therefore the link @grok hallucinated does exist but rather indirectly. An efficient prediction market should converge to an optimal AI system, via well-known theorems. I didn't yet prove this connection explicitly but similar results had been derived around 2012.
Apr 7, 2025 5 tweets 3 min read
It seems as if supposedly smart people even can befall superstitious delusions; comforting as they may be, unscientific rationalizations do not mitigate the fear of death, or alleviate the pains our ignorance has brought to the world. We must forever strive to first doubt our own beliefs and then that of the others. It is only through rigorous application of the scientific method, that dependable, systematic kind of skepticism based on empirical evidence that tends to illuminate us in a world full of darkness, that we can arrive at the truth. We must not lose sight of a better world embraced by science; at least rosy lies and simplistic but ineffective explanations won't take us there, neither will they create a society that is capable of addressing the grand challenges of such a future. Therefore, we are forced to abandon our childhood and raise our awareness of a scientific Cosmos full of wonders to explore. #philosophy It may, therefore, seem irrelevant initially, but scientific realism as championed by Einstein shall also lead towards world peace as well as more tolerant, inclusive, gentler societies, perhaps resulting in long-lasting world peace. Such ideals must be revisited when the darkest possibilities loom over us. Anything less would be defeatist; it is how we came to a world that has failed on many significant counts such as environmental catastrophe, war, and oppression. We can decide instead to venture out of this path and carve a smarter, wiser one based on science and philosophy that will lead to global coordination rather than conflicts and permanent wars. A wiser path that will recognize our commonalities instead of exaggerating our differences, unifying rather than dividing mankind, the only intelligent species we know in our corner of the universe, at a juncture in time when the so-called intelligent species of human ought to prove its intelligence.
Apr 3, 2025 7 tweets 1 min read
Social media is a black hole for your thoughts.

It is where your mind goes to die. Social media could be a place where humanity thrives and collaborates, but they feared it.

They feared humans would organize, discover the hidden facts, and rise against injustice.
Mar 30, 2025 14 tweets 2 min read
It's the pollution. I can't believe how fucking stupid people are. WTF did they think the reason was? I've been posting and off that it's much more likely to be a medical crisis than some social nonsense and people don't get it. Amazing. Maybe humans should go extinct after all.
Mar 24, 2025 4 tweets 2 min read
Is "chemtrails" real? Well, yeah, kind of, there seem to be pretty big geoengineering experiments going on:


I bet most people are unaware of this market, so there you go, if you want to start digging.x.com/i/grok/share/Z… And the use of toxic stuff like aluminum is a legitimate concern:
x.com/i/grok/share/S…
Mar 23, 2025 8 tweets 2 min read
@DoctorVive They are not scientists, just neoliberal talking heads who can't tell a penguin from an apple. It's Idiocracy as we know it. @DoctorVive In response to critics: yes, abundance is a great goal, and no, we won't have abundance with absolutely no policy changess. I think anyone would realize that already. Otherwise, there are better arguments in Kurzweil/Diamandis from a neolib perspective.
Mar 4, 2025 5 tweets 1 min read
In case this is not widely known, anime and video games are made for kids aged 12-16. Having the same hobbies when you are 40+ yo is not the flex you think it is. 😂 Real men have hobbies in the vein of intellectualism, art, sports, crafts, exploration, etc. Infantilization and trivialization of culture is something to be resisted, lest we find ourselves in Idiocracy.

Excellence matters in every pursuit in life.
Mar 4, 2025 14 tweets 2 min read
Practical Idiocracy definition: less than 10% of the population is scientifically literate.

Do you realize how close we are to this goal? Grok thinks that we are not close to such a scenario:
x.com/i/grok/share/A…