Some more context on the wave we built. The popular vote margin in the House overall will be ~7% - the same as the Republican revolution in 1994 and the Tea Party rebellion in 2010. The only reason we wind up with a 60+ seat gain is because of massive gerrymandering post 2010.
But at ~30 seat gain is enough. Two years ago, people were shocked when we said we'd thought we could take the House. The Republicans built a giant freaking wall based on voter suppression, purging, and gerrymandering, but we overcame it.
Trump lost 2016 by 2 points. He lost last night by 7 points. MI, WI, and PA - 3 of his states in 2016 - elected Dem Senators and Govs last night. Kris Kobach and Scott Walker lost. We created half a dozen new state trifectas and broke their trifectas and supermajorities.
When Trump was taking office and we were seeing the growing energy to resist, we said the House was in play. What about gerrymandering?? What about how bad midterms are for Dems?? But the energy on the ground was real - we saw it with our own eyes.
We saw that in response to something incredibly dark, and damaging, and corrupt, was this incredible equal and opposite reaction that was light, and protective, and righteous. That’s the force that won tonight.
A couple weekends ago, 100 days before the election, @Leahgreenb spent a few days driving through Texas and meeting with Indivisible groups that are actively building the blue wave. I wrote up a short post on some of what we saw in my home state here: indivisible.org/blog/indivisib…
Big thanks to @GTIndivisible in Beaumont, Indivisible Wimberley, @SATXIndivisible in San Antonio, and @indivisibleATX in Austin for hosting phonebanks and canvasses - and giving us a chance to chat with your members. So inspired by what y'all are building in Texas!
(Side note: this is a bit of a throwback post - the TX trip was at the end of July. Leah and I just got back yesterday from a similar roadtrip through Tennessee where we saw similarly incredible blue wave builders, though no breakfast tacos).
I'm not seeing NEARLY enough press on how much of a hero @SenatorBaldwin is. It's incredible. This Senator is up for reelection in a Trump-won state THIS YEAR. And she's demonstrating more leadership to #SaveSCOTUS than all these blue state Dems. Quick thread on what this means:
This is a huge deal because we're NEVER going to get Collins or Murkowski against Kavanaugh if we can't even get safe blue state Dems onboard. Hell, we're not going to get Heitkamp, Donnelly, or Manchin onboard if we can't lock up these safe Dems ASAP.
Remember, the strategy to defeat Kavanaugh is simple:
Former congressional staffer here. I'm seeing a few different tactics/strategies being thrown out to #SaveSCOTUS, and a fair amount of misinformation. Here's a short thread on a few tactics that won't work.
1) Pressure on Senators who don't represent you. If you don't live in Maine, Sen. Collins doesn't care what you think. That's not even a knock on Collins - that's just how representative democracy works.
Exceptions: You are a millionaire, famous person, or big campaign donor.
2) Pressure on House members. Members of the House of Reps are very important for many things, but they have no vote on Supreme Court justices.
Exception: Could be worthwhile to get every Dem House member in red states to publicly oppose, creating contrast with GOP senators.
Couple things to keep in mind ahead of SCOTUS announcement today: 1) McCain is unlikely to vote 2) So if all Dems oppose, Trump needs every single GOP vote 3) GOP like Collins don’t want to be the deciding vote 4) But...three Dems voted for Gorsuch (Heitkamp, Donnelly, Manchin)
This is why the events this week are important. Swift, united Dem opposition across the country is critical for putting pressure on the swingable GOP. Regardless of your state, we need your voice this week to #SaveSCOTUS.
It’s also why @SenSchumer’s role is so important right now. As Minority Leader, it is literally his job to lead the Dem Caucus. This is why New York Indivisibles are holding events calling on him to “whip the vote.” We desperately need his leadership to get those 3 Dems back.
Just finished a new book “This is an Uprising” by @markjengler (and his bro who is not on Twitter). Incredible. Best book I’ve read on social movements since @zeynep’s Twitter and Tear Gas. Absolutely a must read for anybody in the resistance. amazon.com/This-Uprising-…
The authors seamlessly weave together organizing theory (mainly Alinsky & Piven/Cloward) and a ton of very compelling histories of domestic and international social movements - MLK, Otpor in Serbia, Earth First!, Gandhi, Egyptian revolution, Act Up, Dreamers, & more.
As someone who accidentally got thrown into a social movement, I learned a ton. I found myself writing “Yes! Same!” in the margins throughout. Not just theory - lots of practical insights. It felt like it was describing *exactly* what Indivisible is aiming for. Highly recommend!
OK, I’ve got 4 thoughts to share on the passage of this historically monstrous tax bill in the House and now the Senate tonight.
I know, it's past 1am (blame the GOP for these midnight shenanigans), but I just gotta get this out.
1st thought: this really, really sucks. I've noticed some progressives want to paint this as a “win” because this will “hurt” the GOP in elections next year. That’s not a where I start. This bill will have real and awful human consequences. This is tragic.
If it wasn’t clear before, it’s very clear now: the congressional GOP are ideological extremists. They cared less about their constituents and our democratic institutions than about raw political power and the enrichment of themselves and their donors.