filbfilb Profile picture
Finance, Trading & Crypto since ‘16 Founder @decentrader. Please DYOR.
Arthur Pernot Profile picture Kris 🛸🐐 Profile picture 2 subscribed
Aug 25, 2023 9 tweets 3 min read
The Macro backdrop is obviously much different this cycle to that of prior cycles, but nevertheless, let's look at the Bitcoin cycle and where we are: 🧵

1/ Bitcoin is 1200 days since the previous halving.

During this period, Bitcoin has historically consolidated. Image 2/ Day 1276 is highlighted as it was around the time in both prior cycles, that we saw a move higher in advance of the halving

- Smart money buying the rumor.

At the same time, we also saw miners accumulating ahead of the halving. Image
Mar 28, 2023 23 tweets 6 min read
Thread 🧵 1/22

Recently @CathieDWood and @balajis both made claims that Bitcoin could reach $1mm in the relatively near future.

I wanted to ascertain how realistic these may be based on some modeling.

Let's begin 👇 2/22

When using Days from the Bitcoin Halving (where the inflation rate of new Bitcoins is halves); we can see that Bitcoin peaks around 368-550 days post halving and then bottoms 779-914 days post cycle.

decentrader.com/charts/bull-ma…