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Jan 13, 2022 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
🚨Last night, we launched a poll at 8pm to get a snap reaction from the public after what was a remarkable day in British politics.
This is the first poll conducted entirely after yesterday's events.
Full thread below - all charts taken from our data collection platform.
(1/n)
First up, as always, vote intention. Labour are registering a NINE point lead over the Conservatives:
CON🔵33%
LAB🔴42%
LD🟠11%
GRN🟢4%
SNP🟡3%
REFUK 3%
PC 1%
OTHER 2%
(2/n)
Dec 26, 2021 • 16 tweets • 5 min read
🚨Throughout December - on behalf of @thesundaytimes - we've been polling thousands of people (25,000 in total!) and have built an MRP model to give a constituency-by-constituency breakdown for how the country would vote if an election were held today.
The results are in.
First up, the predicted national vote share:
CON🔵32%
LAB🔴40%
LD🟠10%
GRN🟢7%
SNP🟡3%
OTHER 9%
The bigger story is the seat count this translates into:
In other words, a stunning 26-seat Labour majority.
Dec 22, 2021 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
🚨We've run a fresh poll to find out if the results we saw in our poll 2 weeks ago (e.g. big Lab lead) were caused by strong (but temporary) public anger in response to the govt. staff party revelations, or whether they indicated a more permanent shift.
It looks like the latter.
First, current vote intention:
CON🔵 34%
LAB🔴41%
LD🟠9%
GRN🟢4%
SNP🟡4%
OTHER 6%
Essentially no chg in Lab/Con vote share since our Dec 9 poll (in the heat of partygate), suggesting the stark Lab lead wasn't a flash in the pan. The Tories seem to have suffered lasting damage.
Dec 10, 2021 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
We ran a snap poll for @TimesRadio overnight. The findings are pretty damning for Boris Johnson.
Full thread below - all charts screen-grabbed from our data collection platform.
First up, vote intention:
