Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a

May 7 • 27 tweets • 5 min read

Why is MBS a pariah and Putin must not remain in power? Why did Gadaffi and Saddam have to die?

Because of Oil.

Oil is inflation.

Inflation is any countries Achilles heel - in particular in US and in particular for oil.

🧵👇 The carry trade helps smooth out oil shocks. But when Putin - after warning for months Ukraine could never be part of NATO - invaded Ukraine the carry trade wasn't enuf to suppress oil volatility.

May 4 • 39 tweets • 11 min read

As promised - from last weeks extreme moves in the vix, currencies and oil.

I saw something this week and it validates my thesis on svix.

SVIX becomes a currency and a currency enforcer.

SVIX is inverse vix - when svix++ vix--
vix-- = stonk++ and oil--
🧵👇

Everyone was curious to know what was going on with jPan. Why did it get so weak?

Was jPan blowing up?

(1) jPan printed
(2) jPan printed a LOT MORE

the gold line is usdcny - china petroyuan has taken control of oil (in white)

May 4 • 13 tweets • 4 min read

Just how distorted have the central planners made the stonk?

spy
👇🧵

spy / currencies

May 1 • 17 tweets • 5 min read

Theres some confusion with my statement "SVIX is a currency"

Lets dig into this....
🧵👇

Svix was created March 2022

What follows is im going to convert everything to units of SVIX

You use dollars to buy a can of pepsi.

You cant use svix to buy anything - but you CAN use it to price everything.

Apr 29 • 51 tweets • 13 min read

Pre-market commentary 4/29/2024
jpan hit 160 and then did a huge intervention to "save" their currency.

Everyone knee jerked and said oooh wow - let me say that it wont matter.

🧵👇

I did a detailed write up about the epic eu$ cny$ battle happening in the currency markets.

Oil was priced in dollars - its now priced in yuan.

https://twitter.com/frankoz95967943/status/1784238047313498207

Apr 28 • 47 tweets • 13 min read

Story time.

How I see the meeting between president Xi and Blinken went down last week....

🧵👇

(this really happened)

https://x.com/Londi/status/1784292818258649104

Apr 28 • 18 tweets • 4 min read

A currency based on the weight of gold.

A thought experiment.

👇🧵

Goldmember the next in a series of Austin powers movies came out in 2002.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austin_Po…

Apr 27 • 79 tweets • 22 min read

jPan is to currency as saud is to oil.

and oil is a currency.

and its priced in dollars.

jPan is literally ground zero for both.
🧵👇

"Oz - this doesnt make sense -jPan has no resources - they dont produce any oil..."

Correct - but they have a lot of $$ because their nation is a saver nation.

And with all that excess money they buy debt from around the world, in particular from USA.

jPan is *THE* regulator for US bond yields and USD currency strength

Here is the US30y yield - when it goes higher it means higher yield.

Look at correlation to jPanesa yen.

Apr 25 • 17 tweets • 5 min read

If you trade options this is the most important metric there is.

🧵👇

Zoomed out a little bit - here is mexican peso vs saudi
When vix spikes it spikes.

But its unreliable. Mexico can mess with their currency value by buying US treasuries.

Apr 25 • 43 tweets • 11 min read

$GOOGL's earnings

Lets talk about this
🧵👇

Googl was held low all day - flat actually - going into earnings.

Then POW on the announcement.

So what gives?

Apr 24 • 7 tweets • 2 min read

A quick thread

Looking at svix vs vix (in white)

Suppression (in red) is extreme right now....svix is inverted.

🧵👇

Based on my math, vix should be somewhere around 60 right now.

SVIX keeps the vix low to keep the market happy while the fed fucks around with interest rates because they printed too much money.

Apr 21 • 20 tweets • 6 min read

Lets put this together in a proper thread.

Foreign Asset seizures.
👇🧵

During ww1 america was so paranoid it imprisoned millions of people and seized all their assets.

Apr 20 • 36 tweets • 10 min read

Short vix thread

ya'll might wanna re-read this....

👇🧵

https://x.com/frankoz95967943/status/1515415312086171649

Read this outloud to yourself about 60x - commit it to memory.

in particular this section:

Apr 15 • 35 tweets • 9 min read

Story time
👇🧵

Once upon a time a man lived in a high castle - but instead of piles of gold he had piles of debt.

Apr 13 • 109 tweets • 31 min read

Currency.

The black art that makes the world go around.

Most of you have no idea about exchange rates and how they are gamed or why.

Lets fix that.

Theres a bit of history....

From !
🧵👇 c-span.org/video/?178891-…

Quiz time - put a check next to each one of these that apply to America and count the check marks....

Apr 8 • 22 tweets • 6 min read

How i see the whole 'we gun crush the vix to control oil' decision came about....

🧵👇

"Mr president - we have a problem - we accidently left interest rates too low for too long"

Apr 6 • 29 tweets • 8 min read

Volmageddon thread.

Lets start with actual real research this time and not Oz spewing "correlation is not causation" charts and graphs all over the place....

👇🧵ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P… I noticed something very very strange on friday - a presence i hadnt felt in a long time......a long time...