In the fine tradition of @rob_sheridan, and in the spirit of Halloween, I asked the machines to render "Silence of the Lambs" into a 1980s sitcom. Join me on the journey: 🧵 Starring a stunned and speechless Shirley Temple as young Clarice...

I was pleased to offer my thoughts for @just_security on the perils of an uncritical embrace of AI by militaries and states, particularly as it stands to fog their (already limited) ability to ascertain intentionality. 🧵/1
justsecurity.org/89641/the-path… Much like computers and email once promised to simplify and manage the complexity and volume of information decision-makers faced - they instead multiplied it, necessitating *more* humans in the loop (via Van Creveld): /2

Pleased to share my first working paper with @CEIPTechProgram, part of our series examining the cyber dimension of Russia's war on Ukraine. Click 👇 for details, scroll on for a brief 🧵/1
carnegieendowment.org/2022/12/12/cyb… As I outlined earlier this year in @WarOnTheRocks, 🇷🇺's own aspirations for information warfare - including both psychological and technological effects - are very lofty. By that doctrinal yardstick, it's tough to see it as a success in 🇺🇦. /2
warontherocks.com/2022/07/assess…

In a new piece, I warn government and civil society practitioners against the slide into “disinformationism”—countering disinfo by divorcing it from its socio-political contexts and examining it primarily through social media metrics. 🧵 /1
carnegieendowment.org/2022/11/10/pro… Practitioners all roll their eyes at the debates around how to define “disinfo” (essentially the unmitigated spread of falsehood). But did you know that debates around the definition of “information” itself are still somewhat unsettled? /2

NEW: My insights via @newlinesmag into an architect of Moscow’s info-war: Senior GRU official Aleksandr Starunskiy was recently tapped by the Kremlin to advise the Russian Security Council. What are his bona fides? 🧵/1
newlinesmag.com/argument/in-ru… In May 2021, Putin signed an order elevating a number of new members to a scientific advisory board to the Security Council. Among them: one A.G. Starunskiy, deputy commander of military unit 55111. /2
publication.pravo.gov.ru/Document/View/…

Fascinating insights on 5th Svc here, including its apparent reputation within FSB as an "unprofessional swamp" lacking a rudimentary understanding of the CIS countries under its remit.
istories.media/opinions/2022/… The FSB's primary informants on Ukraine were from exiled ex-president Yanukovych's circle. Chief among them reportedly Vladimir Sivkovich, whom the US sanctioned for coup plotting in Ukraine earlier this year, and US election influence ops in 2020.
home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…

"On the outside I was a liberal internationalist--straight as an arrow. It took going to National War College to make me a 'restrainer.'"

A 🧵...1/ The curriculum at @NWC_NDU is designed to make strategic thinkers out of a healthy mix of military, civilian, and intn'l officers. It does this through historical examination of conflict, domestic and economic dynamics, and the tools of statecraft (military but one of them). 2/