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Gilles Demaneuf Profile picture
Gilles Demaneuf
@gdemaneuf
Pointy Head. Opinions, analyses and views are mine and should never be interpreted as representing any institution or company. #DRASTIC
18 subscribers
Dec 4 • 29 tweets • 13 min read
1/29 In September 2021, we released DEFUSE with the original rejection letter, plus our 2-pager that detailed the reasons why DEFUSE was turned down:

Potential GoF/DURC work, no risk mitigation plan, no ESLI plan, all with vague deployment in the wild.

assets.ctfassets.net/syq3snmxclc9/5…Image
Image 2/29 @PeterDaszak spent the following 3 years pretending that this was all lies, that the grant was denied just because he asked for too much money, calling DRASTIC conspiracy theorists.

Today's💥bipartisan💥 @COVIDSelect report 💯% confirms what we explained back in Sep 2021. Image
Dec 3 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
1/7 Just another way to keep funding Daszak.

This was on top of the private donors and foundations that took the relay after Daszak's grants got suspended in Apr 2020.

One huge advantage in this: no reporting or regulatory requirements as private money!
.@DOGE
2/7 Proofs:

9 June 2020:
"We do have some good news though. First of all, we received the check from your Anonymous donor colleague [$500k] and this will go a significant way to allowing us not to lay off staff from the China work."
.@emilyakopp
Nov 30 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/4 For the record:

Florence Debarre did a lot of her checks by talking directly to Peter Daszak, today defunded & disgraced.

He seems to have been rather convincing. Did he tell her that he was happy to have coronavirus work done at P2 in China, when it would be P3 in the US? Image 2/4 Also, let's not forget that Debarre was a contact of Daszak from before the outbreak. Image
Nov 26 • 14 tweets • 6 min read
1/14 Here is a quick thread on the back-channels funding to EHA and the support by Fauci to Daszak/EHA, via Morens and Keusch as foot-soldiers.

The message below gives the gist.
@RandPaul @RogerMarshallMD @emilyakopp Image 2/14 We can see here :

• A gift from an anonymous donor (actually an anonymous foundation), enough to help keep staff in China.
• The gift from the Wallace Foundation
• Jeremy Farrar asking Peter for a pitch he can put out to Wellcome Foundation, for funding EHA.

@BiosafetyNowImage
Nov 23 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
1/9 An interesting paper about Covid origins open-science on Twitter/X, against the gate-keeping from entrenched communities.

'In essence, much of natural origin science advocacy over the following three years focused on achieving a definitive and final closure of the origin question, in the face of incomplete and missing data.'Image 2/9 'A core lab origin advocacy group formed on Twitter in spring 2020, under the name DRASTIC. [..] This loose multinational collection of molecular biologists, bioinformation specialists, biosafety experts, engineers, and internet sleuths, some of whom are anonymous, has produced very extensive Twitter content, as well as preprint documents, and peer-reviewed publications'.

#DRASTIC @BillyBostickson

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/03…Image
Nov 18 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
1/11 Question for @COVIDSelect and @JamesComer

How come that Daszak's R01 AI110964 lists San Pya clinic (Myanmar) and Institut Pasteur (Cambodia) as in-country partners, when in fact these confirmed that they were NEVER contacted by EHA and have no idea why they are showing up on the grant?Image 2/11 Not only that, but the April 2020 update by EHA positively states that San Pya Clinic and Institut Pasteur Cambodia performed their assigned tasks and sent their samples to the WIV.

@emilyakopp @VivekGRamaswamy Image
Image
Nov 18 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/4 What did Tabak agree about with Collins, when faced with this very honest and dispassionate email from David Relman?

@JamieMetzl @BiosafetyNow @DrJBhattacharya Image 2/4 'There are some incredibly important questions, not just about what happened, but also about how we should go about understanding biological threats that arise from nature, as well as from the activities of humans, and how we should manage tradeoffs between benefits and risks in science. NIH can (and IMHO, really must) play a leading role in this discussion.'Image
Nov 14 • 40 tweets • 15 min read
1/ This thread covers a key Dec 2022 report by the House Intelligence Committee, which aimed to review the Intelligence Community's response to the COVID-19 outbreak:

That report illustrates the role of the Director of National Intelligence at the time.
intelligence.house.gov/news/documents…Image 2/ But before I dig into it, let me set the expectations right:

👉🏼That report is not about the origins of Covid-19.

It is first about the work of the Intel Community (IC) 'once' the outbreak was public at end December 2019.
The origins question is touched on only indirectly. Image
Oct 29 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
1/11 There is an interesting interview from Aug 2002, which I have already pointed to, that shows how Fauci went 100% with the Biodefense agenda of Bush and Cheney.
It adds context to Emily's thread.

More below.
@BiosafetyNow @R_H_Ebright #DRASTIC
2/11 Fauci explains how he was given the green light by Bush / Cheney for taking over a major Biodefense portfolio within the NIH.

For instance, one of his first tasks was to plan for a possible bioweapon strike by Saddam Hussein. He worked hard on that urgent threat: Image
Sep 30 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
1/8 As I promised some time ago, here is an important piece on the genesis of Proximal Origin.

I called it 'A Tragicomedy of our Times' because that's precisely what it is.

The piece is long (book-size), but there is a short Summary:


@JeremyFarrargillesdemaneuf.medium.com/summary-proxim… 2/8 Key questions are addressed in this research, such as:

👉🏻 Who was really behind the investigative initiative of Jeremy Farrar, of the Wellcome Trust, at the end of January 2020.

👉🏻 Why the tone and conclusions of the Proximal Origin draft changed so much within a week of the confidential investigative call that took place on 1 Feb, organised by Farrar at the suggestion of Anthony Fauci (head of NIAID).

👉🏻 Why the agreed plan to have the WHO onboard the origin question was dropped around the 9 Feb, and never heard of again, despite having the support of the US government.

👉🏻 Why Farrar organised both the publication of Peter Daszak’s Statement of Support and the release of Proximal Origin at a crucial time.

@DrTedros @gabbystern @JamieMetzl @mvankerkhove @schwartlanderb
Jun 8 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
Fauci did the biodefense work he was asked to do back in 2002/3 when this was largely transferred to him under the NIH.

That’s the issue.
And that’s why there is a consensus not to go after him, while avoiding the biodefense can of worms. As China was started to steam ahead on its own in 2017-18, be it sampling, GoF or various synthetic biology experiments, EHA was starting to be left behind.

EHA tried to stay on the train with the GVP and DEFUSE. That failed, as the risk-reward equations looked bad.

But within the NIH grants framework, Daszak was able to obfuscate his difficulties just enough, while the NIH was clueless enough to keep the game going into new territories.

Then as the degrading picture became more clear, some on the Track II Biodefense side thought that this was basically the only chance left to keep a seat on that train.

So, just at the time when it was losing control, the NIH looked the other way.
Jun 6 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
1/8 The story of one of the worst policy failures in US history in a nutshell, as an introduction to my latest work on the USAID and EHA grants in South East Asia:

Left Behind:
@emilyakopp @natashaloder @zeynep @KatherineEban Image 2/8 Limited Options: Image
May 30 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
1/11 Question for @COVIDSelect:

How come that Daszak's R01 AI110964 lists San Pya clinic (Myanmar) and Institut Pasteur (Cambodia) as in-country partners, when in fact these confirmed that they were NEVER contacted by EHA and have no idea why they are showing up on the grant? Image 2/11 Not only that, but the April 2020 update by EHA positively states that San Pya Clinic and Institut Pasteur Cambodia performed their assigned tasks and sent their samples to the WIV.

@emilyakopp @KatherineEban
Image
Image
May 8 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Daszak did 4 months of detention in 1986 for stealing a TV set, a hi-fi, a statue and some other items, so that he could indulge in his alcohol fuelled ‘fun’ at other people’s expense.

This fraud later managed to get hold of 100s millions of US taxpayers money. Someone saw through him very early:

“Judge Lloyd-Jones told Daszak that he had been given more chances than most and had abused other people trust.”
Apr 4 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Another retraction for Robert Garry.

I may be losing track, but it is at least his third retraction.
There is also on expression of concern for one of his papers.
@thackerpd @KatherineEban @emilyakopp See previous thread:
Mar 13 • 16 tweets • 7 min read
Here is an important reminder to the Kindergarten epidemiologists who aim to compare themselves to John Snow.

Epidemiology 101:
John Snow never considered his map as proving anything. He relied on fortuitous control groups and cases reviews to establish causality
@mvankerkhoveImage See for instance this image and extract from a recent paper:

Confirmation of the centrality of the Huanan market among early COVID-19 cases
Reply to Stoyan and Chiu (2024)
arxiv.org/pdf/2403.05859…

Image
Image
Mar 12 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
1/10 Good Judgment superforecast on COVID-19 Origins:
#DRASTIC Image 2/10 Final probabilities of a research-related accident: Image
Feb 16 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
1/5 It is difficult to be more mistaken than Robert Garry below, when discussing a supposed essential finding of Worobey et al:

@TheJohnSudworth @MichaelWorobey @hfeldwisch Image 2/5 As a matter of fact, that pattern is exactly the one expected if proximity to the market was used as a criteria when identifying cases (as is amply recorded).

Going further, there is no easy way to explain that pattern otherwise.

Here is the mathematically correct version:Image
Feb 3 • 26 tweets • 8 min read
1/26 My comments about this just published poling of experts, examining their opinions on the plausible origins of Covid-19.

There is a lot to unpack. Much more than I have seen so far in reductive tweets.

So here it is.

@RogerPielkeJr @BallouxFrancois 2/26 First, a key limitation:

Polling must have been done before Oct 2023, so before:
- Key Science erratum for Pekar et al (invalidated their model)
- Peer reviewed paper showing key statistical flaw in Worobey et al
- DEFUSE draft showing planned work at P2 in China and more Image
Jan 19 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Some key points in relation to DEFUSE and the latest revelations about it:

- The ODNI (Office of the Director of National Intelligence) likely never provided DEFUSE to the intel agencies before their Aug 21 report assessments for the Biden intel report.
- Between Aug 21 (end of agencies drafting) and Oct 21 (when ODNI released its long form Biden report), ODNI did not ask either for an update based on DEFUSE we (DRASTIC) published in Sep 21.
Dec 31, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/4 Memory lane #2

Exactly 4 years ago, on 30 Dec 2019, after a review of SARS-CoV-2 sequence with the WIV, all known cases were transferred to the negative pressure ward of Jin Yin-tan Hospital, using negative pressure ambulances disinfected after each trip. Image 2/4 The WIV, based on Vision Medicals´ sequence, had confirmed the danger that the virus likely represented at ~10pm on the 27 Dec.

From there, Jin-Yin-tan hospital (which did the review with the WIV) decided to take no risk.

archive.ph/xmPCZ
archive.ph/MiVR0