Dan Silverman Profile picture
Asst Prof @CMUIPS. @osupolisci PhD. Areas: conflict, behavior, Middle East, USFP.
Nov 1, 2023 15 tweets 4 min read
Are Gaza's official fatality numbers reliable -- and what can they tell us about *who* is being killed in the war?

To find out, I analyzed the data from the Gazan Ministry of Health (Moh) statistically with @Michael_Spagat. Key findings below 🧵

aoav.org.uk/2023/are-the-g… Context:

Last Thursday, Biden heaped skepticism on the official Gazan fatality numbers, sparking a political firestorm.

In response, Gaza's MoH released a detailed document listing the name, ID #, sex, and age of each of the 7028 fatalities at the time.

palestinechronicle.com/wp-content/upl…
Nov 23, 2021 8 tweets 3 min read
Great to see my new article with @HuangReyko and Benjamin Acosta at @ISQ_Jrnl.

We examine rebel leaders' pre-leadership international experiences and how they help leaders obtain external support during rebellion.

A 🧵on study, new database, & results

doi.org/10.1093/isq/sq… Motivation: While there is a wealth of research on how *state* leaders matter in IR and Poli Sci more generally, there is little on how the attributes and experiences of *rebel* leaders influence world politics. We aim to help fill this gap.