Master of Engineering: Telecommunications, Electronic Warfare, and Multimedia Surveillance
Not pro-Russian, not pro-Ukrainian - pro logic!
Jun 18, 2023 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
After full 2 weeks of counter-offensive we can we great confidence to say that has run into a problem that is very easy to identify - but hard to overcome.
🇺🇦 screening assault has utterly failed and now 🇺🇦 are in fact unable to start the full assault phase of the offensive.
It seems that 🇷🇺 have implemented something that has never been seen before - "proactive defense in depth". For a more detailed explanation of the inner working of "classical one"-I already talked about it here (bear in mind this was written some time ago)
Now that the dust of the initial euphoria/depression/excitement of the start of the Ukrainian counter-offensive has finally settled down a bit - let us try to look objectively at what has happened so far in the latest installment of the Ukrainian-Russian mess.
First of all, you need to get rid of a very dangerous disease called Geographofilia (singular interpretation of all things by judging them only with map lines movement, map territory gained/lost). Territory can be won and lost in a day.
Let us be realistic here and treat things like they should be treated - objectively. What we saw today was a probe that for some reason evolved into the screening assault. There are 3 levels of attack that should be distinguished. 1. Probe 2. Recon in force 3. Screening assault.
1. Probe is a hit-and-run attack on the enemy by troops primarily to discover the location of the defending troops. It is done with a very small mobile group that has the task of simply provoking defenders to action in order to reveal what is the readiness of the defender.
May 17, 2023 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
@imetatronink I already elaborated on the whole SEAD efforts in detail here
@imetatronink Now to add some situation-specific things here. 1. Biggest asset of Ukraine is in fact NATO ISR ability that Russia can't destroy without direct conflict with NATO (especially because AWAKS-type platforms are manned and shooting them down would kill a large number of personnel)!
Jan 21, 2023 • 12 tweets • 10 min read
@LeifNordh@cirnosad@IvanBuchanJanus The problem is not ... nor has ever been the quality of individual pieces of equipment. In all the cases you listed it is two things that are lacking. Number of systems and ammo for all these systems.
I already wrote several threads about this.
@LeifNordh@cirnosad@IvanBuchanJanus Especially problematic is the Western notion of force multipliers (HIMARS/EXCALIBUR precision-guided ammo) that simply fail to work according to the specification!
"The theory" is that "non-westerners" need hundreds of od shells (exercises have shown 50-100) to destroy a tank.
Dec 30, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
All those who know how to look can already see a pattern.
We can call it "Four Phase Hybrid Warfare" by Russians using missile strikes.
Phase 1: Russia conducts the biggest attack ever. Never seen a number of killer drones and cruise missiles attack targets all over Ukraine.
Phase 2: In the days after the attack Russia reduces the number of missiles fired in the following days. In time Ukrainian AD assets are repositioned to those 1-2 sites that are constantly/repeatedly attacked and are OFC successful at shooting down all missiles directed at them.
Nov 12, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Regarding FTX / crypto collapse.
In the same way that definitions "murder" and "multiple murder" simply do not cover or validly represent crimes like genocide and ethnic cleansing, "scam" / "fraud" / "hoax" simply does not cover enough of the damages done by some people.
As for war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide, there should be an international court for economic mass crimes and financial destruction. Especially because the extent of damage to the world economy and population of the world is - SAME
Oct 23, 2022 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
For 9 months now people have been talking about it (you can see my past threads) and NOTHING was done about it in the West. Why? When will West stop hiding behind "unwilling" as the lesser-evil-excuse and start admitting that it is utterly incapable? cnbc.com/2022/10/22/wea…
Not to mention that hard decisions need to be made very quickly.
- By the end of October (first half of November if stretched to the breaking point) Ukraine will lose its ability to adequately support soviet era artillery systems.
Oct 18, 2022 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
Suppression of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD) is an activity as old as air defense itself. The point of the SEAD is to prevent the destruction of air assets by the anti-aircraft (ground or air-based) systems of the enemy (especially manned air assets). But - what about unmanned?
The first use of unmanned assets was in the First Gulf War. The so-called "Poobah's Party" (named after Gen.Larry Henry - call sign Poobah) happened on the first night of the Desert Storm and was the effort of Coalition forces to suppress the integrated air defense system of Iraq
Oct 16, 2022 • 11 tweets • 7 min read
@kerrykorberg@GeromanAT What 🇷🇺 are doing is called "desynchronization" and is very problematic jamming because it forces both the terminal and the satellite to falsely go into the handover between sats. This drains both the batteries on the mobile terminal and processing resources on the satellite.
@kerrykorberg@GeromanAT On the terminal side - you might have noticed this when attempting to activate a phone near the end of the battery. You will see that at the beginning of the power up it will be 10% of the battery. But when it is fully active it will drop to 5% right away.
Sep 23, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
What people need to understand is that there is a tipping point in a force organization numbers that is committed to a certain military operation. Every person who is in the front needs to be fed, equipped, and ammo/water/food supplied. "Back" to "Front" ratio is around 2:1 !
BUT there is a "catch" as you can see from the graph that ration is not "stable". At the start of graph 30k troops has a rather large "train" behind them to take care of them. Especially due to to fixed number of people that needs to stay on the territory to maintain order.
Jun 14, 2022 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
People have a rather big illusion regarding the MANPADs. You take the "tube", point it at the plane, hear the tone that seeker-head has a lock, and shoot. Nothing can be further from the truth because there are several limiting factors regarding shoulder-to-plane operations.
First is the range. Man-portable systems do not have a lot of it. This means that even without active countermeasures the plane can "dip" into the coverage of the system and escape the destruction envelope with ease if the location of the system is known - even broadly.
