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@james_bowley
Prefer accuracy to popularity. Myth-mongers will be challenged. Happy to engage in polite, evidence-based debate. Will only block due to unacceptable rudeness.
Jul 11, 2020 • 19 tweets • 6 min read
I haven’t posted a YouGov polling thread for a while, but seven months on from the general election, with the change in Labour leadership and the coronavirus crisis, it's probably about time for another update.

THREAD >

1/19 Yesterday’s YouGov Westminster vote intention poll also marked three years of VI polling since the dramatic 2017 general election, when UK politics seemed to be switching back to the ‘two party system’, so it's a bit of a milestone for the charts.

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…

2/19
Nov 21, 2019 • 16 tweets • 3 min read
Labour is promising the “most radical and ambitious plan to transform our country in decades.”

Does the public trust Jeremy Corbyn to be the man to deliver that transformation?

If not, could it be counterproductive to have such a complex, costly manifesto?

THREAD 1/16 Opinium asks questions about leadership in each poll, from 'how are the leaders doing?', to 'who would make the best PM?' to questions about what sort of person the party leaders are.

How are the main contenders doing on some of the key leadership questions right now?

2/16
Oct 15, 2019 • 28 tweets • 17 min read
#IStandWithCorbyn was trending.

Clearly there’s support for Jeremy Corbyn within the Labour party membership & beyond, but are people close to him looking closely at his personal polling & the polling in recent decades, and putting pressure on him to step down?

THREAD … In the most recent monthly Ipsos MORI Political Monitor, Jeremy Corbyn’s net leadership satisfaction scores hit -60% (16% satisfied vs. 76% dissatisfied), a level seen by no other leader of the opposition (or prime minister) since this series began in the 1970s.

2/27
Mar 8, 2019 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
Latest @YouGov vote intention poll, 3-4 March 2019, published today.

Here are some charts tracking the polling trends across the 73 YouGov headline voting intention polls since the 2017 general election, starting with all voters / all main parties. Some Conservative vs. Labour vote share charts for different groups.

Labour voters and Conservative voters from 2017.

Very little evidence of either side winning over much support from each others' 2017 voters.
Feb 13, 2019 • 15 tweets • 5 min read
As promised, here’s the latest update on YouGov’s ‘Who do you think would make the best Prime Minister?’ poll trackers, across a variety of groups.

Once again, a number of fascinating results and trends are revealed.

1/15 This covers the 59 polls taken since the 2017 general election when this ‘best Prime Minister’ question has been asked, and looks beneath the headline numbers to see what’s going on, and where the changes (if any) are happening.

2/15
Jan 15, 2019 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
The latest YouGov 'best PM' polls have some remarkable numbers:

1. Corbyn down to 20%, May on 38%.

2. Only 46% of 2017 Labour voters pick Corbyn.

3. More *Remain* voters pick May over Corbyn (30% to 29%)

4. Corbyn lead with 18-24s down to just 4% (29% to 25%) To illustrate the significance of this latest poll from YouGov (polling 6th-7th Jan), here are some trackers, covering 57 polls asking the 'who would make the best prime minister?' question.

All voters:
20% is the lowest polled by Corbyn since the GE, with May's biggest lead.