Jeffrey P. Clemens Profile picture
Associate Professor of Economics at @UCSanDiego. Co-Editor @JHealthEcon and @JPubEcon. All views expressed are my own. Retweet does not imply endorsement.
Sep 20, 2021 20 tweets 5 min read
Earlier, I summarized the results from my latest paper with @michaelrstrain, in which we conclude a 4-year project to estimate minimum wage employment effects using a pre-analysis plan:

The thread to follow has more on the pre-analysis plan itself.

1/20 A key element of this project is its use of a pre-analysis plan, which is rare in economics research outside of experiments. Using a pre-analysis plan reduces the scope for data mining, which can be particularly valuable for research on contentious topics.
2/20
Sep 20, 2021 16 tweets 5 min read
Over the last 4 years, @michaelrstrain and I have tracked the effects of the last decade’s minimum wage changes using a pre-analysis plan. This thread describes the final results of our project. The associated paper is out this week through @nberpubs:
nber.org/papers/w29264
1/15 Over the last decade, states’ minimum wage rates have diverged considerably. (E.g., Several states passed $15 minimum wages laws while many stayed at the $7.25 federal minimum). It’s an unusually fertile setting for learning about the effects of large minimum wage increases.
2/15
Aug 30, 2021 10 tweets 3 min read
For analysis of failed counter-narcotics efforts in Afghanistan (why they have failed and with what implications), please see my latest at the link below, which is out today through @IrregWarfare:

mwi.usma.edu/an-unforced-er…
1/10 The piece walks through key reasons why counter-narcotics efforts in Afghanistan have failed, coupled with a discussion of what the future might hold for opium production in Afghanistan given reports that the Taliban will reinstitute an opium ban: wsj.com/articles/talib…
2/10
Aug 15, 2021 19 tweets 5 min read
An underrated mistake in US policy in Afghanistan was its long-running effort to suppress the cultivation of opium poppy and, in turn, the production of heroin and other opiates.

A thread. 1/19 The US effort to suppress opium production in Afghanistan is an issue in which I’ve long taken an interest. It was the topic of my undergraduate thesis, which was later published in the Journal of Law and Economics. It also generated a follow-on project. 2/19
Feb 6, 2021 20 tweets 9 min read
A thread...

on my new paper in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, which discusses a rich set of economic margins along which firms might respond to minimum wage increases.

Look below for links to many papers of potential interest:
aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…
[1/20] The paper appears as part of a symposium on minimum wages, which includes contributions from @alanmanning4, from @arindube and Lindner, and from Fishback and Seltzer:
aeaweb.org/issues/623?to=…
[2/20]
Feb 23, 2020 15 tweets 4 min read
At @MargRev, Tyler Cowen reflects on a survey of health economics written up by @afrakt.

Austin's summary of the survey, which was conducted by @KosaliSimon, @cawley_john, and Mike Morrisey:

"If health economists were in charge of the health system, not a lot would change."
1/n If true, Tyler asks, what to conclude?

Is it "That radical reforms, as suggested by... [some] ... presidential candidates, are undesirable and unneeded? That [those] who endorse single payer are way overreaching? Or that these health economists are... major wusses?"
2/n
Jan 2, 2020 7 tweets 2 min read
Thread with San Diego pro-tips for the visiting economists of #assa2020.

The conference hotels are located in our central business district, which has perks but is by no means representative of the city. If you've perused Yelp and Google Maps but are at a loss, consider...

1/n
Since you're coming to San Diego you might expect to have some tacos. Try...
1) Best fish taco: Oscar's Mexican Seafood (smoked fish recommended)
2) All around tacos: The Taco Stand
3) Over-priced delicious tacos: Puesto
4) Under-priced delicious tacos: Tijuana