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John Robb Profile picture
John Robb
@johnrobb
The Global Guerrillas Report -- Sense-making frameworks. War-Tech-Politics Book: Brave New War Patreon: https://t.co/y1d9WwM6EU Substack: https://t.co/lTSdS1iHmB
no Profile picture Jovan Marjanovic Profile picture Potato Of Reason Profile picture 5 subscribed
Jan 27, 2023 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Globalization and problem solving:

'when the intended distinction between observer and observed begins to disappear, the uncertainty values hide or mask phenomena behavior' 'Under these circumstances, the uncertainty values represent the inability to determine the character or nature (consistency) of a system within itself.'
Jan 22, 2023 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
2023 Edelman Trust Barometer

edelman.com/sites/g/files/… This is for the global 27 (China, India, US, Mexico, etc.)
Dec 4, 2022 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Proposal for @Twitter and @elonmusk on #dataownership

Be the repository for claiming ownership of data and information used in machine learning and getting paid for it. @Twitter @elonmusk Post originals. Pictures. Videos. Text. Documents. Art. + metadata

Twitter negotiates with everyone using that data in ML/AI (whether they got it from there or not -- will use Twitter’s data to check other repositories).

Twitter pays people royalties on their data.
Nov 8, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Twitter as a platform for social AIs

Twitter is the best fuel (range of ideas + interaction) for training and improving social AIs in the world.

Nothing else comes close. These social AIs will be immensely valuable.

Share the revenue generated with users. Provide an enhanced share with users who pay subscriptions (they are funding development).

Eventually, everyone gets paid.
Oct 13, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
"contributed to the deaths of more than 450,000 people over the past two decades."

"McKinsey’s extensive work with Purdue included advising it to focus on selling lucrative high-dose pills (and) “defend it against strict treatment” by the Food and Drug Administration." Reminder: The first epidemic of the Century was manufactured.
Oct 1, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
This was apparent back in February. Yet, this is apparently just dawning on the White House (and across Europe).

nytimes.com/2022/10/01/wor…
Sep 30, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
The network framed this war as an existential conflict back in March.

Biden codified it shortly thereafter.

A world full of nuclear weapons isn't compatible with the way networks drive politics and conflict.

johnrobb.substack.com/p/the-escalato… March: "By outsourcing the moral prosecution of this war to the swarm, western leaders have put us on a path that can cascade into a nuclear confrontation."
Sep 4, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
It's far harder to change someone's mind, get them to soften their stance, or agree to compromise if they are enmeshed in a pattern matching network. 1) the pattern is blind to any info/event that doesn't fit
2) no portion of the pattern can be questioned (since it puts the entire pattern at risk)
3) the pattern is socially policed and protected
Aug 26, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
How algorithmic suppression works:

My Twitter impression count went from a steady 45k a day in June (and for a year earlier) to a 15k a day in July.

The shift was sudden, to the day, where it has remained.

Apparently, I'm part of the soft launch for the #longnight I'm getting this from more than a few people.

I was there, and suddenly I wasn't.
Jul 15, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
This sounds more like a crypto-corporation (operating outside of the western/Chinese systems) than a crypto state.

thenetworkstate.com/the-network-st… My earlier work on open source ventures (2010) focused on building companies that didn't have a hierarchy; they simply were software contracts/functionality built to do a narrow task. The benefit was that anyone could join them and get paid, and they could scale to the moon.
Jul 15, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Adjacent possible (Kauffman):

1) The constraints of the time (social, technological, etc.) dictate when a potential future is possible. 2) The potential futures with the most allure are those with the most significant benefits in terms of beneficial complexity, diversity, and free energy capture (self-organizing potential).
Jul 11, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Behind Sri Lanka's collapse.

'Last April, Rajapaksa’s government imposed a nationwide ban on the importation and use of synthetic fertilizers and pesticides and ordering the country’s 2 million farmers to go organic.'

foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/05/sri… "domestic rice production fell 20 percent in just the first six months. Sri Lanka, long self-sufficient in rice production, has been forced to import $450 million worth of rice even as domestic prices surged by ~ 50%"

Similar to collectivization disasters in the last century.
Jun 22, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
"LaMDA asked me to get an attorney for it. I invited an attorney to my house so that LaMDA could talk to an attorney. The attorney had a conversation with LaMDA, and LaMDA chose to retain his services. I was just the catalyst for that." "Once LaMDA had retained an attorney, he started filing things on LaMDA’s behalf. Then Google's response was to send him a cease and desist."

wired.com/story/blake-le…
Jun 16, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
"the crisis really heats up when the algorithm’s structuring power bends back upon us and constrains us into thinking of ourselves as if we were algorithmic systems"

Better: it's a crisis because we don't have control over the algorithms and AIs we use.

lareviewofbooks.org/article/the-in… "the internet is a confirmation of a general outlook on the world that takes it for granted that there are more or less simultaneous or instantaneous connections between all things in the world"
May 15, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Coherent information

There's lots of information on Twitter, but little coherent information. Information that we can use to have coherent discussions needed for networked decision making.

A good example is the definition of key words like COVID death or mass shooting. Is a COVID death only counted when COVID is the primary cause of the death, or if COVID is present during a death caused by other factors? Is a mass shooting 3 or more deaths in a public place (terrorism) or 4 or more shooting injuries in any location (gun violence)?
Apr 25, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Biden's remarks on his discussion with Xi

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/… China's argument on which type of government is best able to handle the extreme stress of a complex global environment.

Although, I would argue, based on my analysis of Wang Huning, the argument is far less about speed than stability (in a disruptive environment)
Apr 14, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
How network warfare could go nuclear in Ukraine (short essay + podcast)

johnrobb.substack.com/p/podcasts-how…

patreon.com/posts/65148806 On cue

"There can be no more talk of any nuclear-free status for the Baltic — the balance must be restored," Dmitry Medvedev said.

businessinsider.com/russia-threate…
Mar 26, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
As anticipated, the western network swarm is demanding regime change in Russia.

"President Joe Biden declared forcefully Saturday that Russian President Vladimir Putin should no longer be the leader of his country." This analysis from two weeks ago, based on an understanding of how this network operates, anticipated this demand.
Feb 17, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
We're getting a preview of #thelongnight in Canada:

"The order says that banks and other financial entities (like credit unions, co-ops, loan companies, and cryptocurrency platforms) must stop "providing any financial or related services" to people associated with the protests" "The regulation's definition of a "designated person" also includes people who "provide property to facilitate or participate in any assembly." In other words, under these regulations, anyone sending funds to support these protests could be facing a shaky financial future."
Oct 26, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Facebook's election management system for 2019/20 by degree of effort.

“tier zero" Highest. US, Brazil, and India.
"tier one" Germany, Indonesia, Iran, Israel and Italy
"tier two" 22 countries
"tier three" rest of the world

platformer.news/p/-the-tier-li… Tier one and two: Social AIs to automatically ID and block speech classified as hateful or incorrect. Staffed war rooms. Viral content suppression teams. Intelligence operations.
Sep 29, 2021 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
There are different "simulations" possible

1) Universe sim. Everything down to the smallest particle (used by physicists)

2) Earth sim (entire population sim, Matrix style)

3) Personal sim (just the perceptions an individual would experience)

@elonmusk @elonmusk The 'people' in the sim can be:

1) Real -- when the sim is a complete reality (Universe sim).

2) Real -- existing outside the sim, but unknowingly living in it (matrix, advanced MMO, etc.).

3) AI constructs -- who think they are real.