Author of "Sleeping on a Volcano: The Worldwide Demographic Decline and the Economic and Geopolitical Implications" Writing about Macroeconomics and Geopolitics
Mar 3, 2020 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
This is so disingenuous. I can’t believe the WHO would say it - and I am shocked that they are not being called out for it. This 3.4% number is the deaths/currently infected. The majority of cases haven’t recovered or died yet.
There is a name for this method of calculating CFR, it’s referred to as the Naïve CFR, and everyone (including the WHO) knows that it grossly underestimates the true CFR.