π™Ήπš˜πšŽ πš…πš’πš™πš˜πš—πš Profile picture
𝙼𝙳 πšπš›πš’πš’πš—πš πšπšŽπšœπš™πšŽπš›πšŠπšπšŽπš•πš’ 𝚝𝚘 𝚜𝚊𝚟𝚎 πš‘πš’πšœ πšŒπš‘πš’πš•πšπš›πšŽπš—'𝚜 πšπšžπšπšžπš›πšŽ. @𝙲𝙰𝙿𝙴_π™³πš˜πšŒπšπš˜πš›πšœ @π™²πš•πš’πš–πšŠπšπšŽπ™·πšžπš‹πšˆYC
Dr. {Face-Mask Culture Researching} Young-Leslie Profile picture CMarie #CovidIsAirborne #SmallTownAB #WaterNotCoal Profile picture 2 added to My Authors
Jan 19,
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Jan 18th, covering the days of Fri, Sat, Sun, Mon. 1/ Case/d: are no longer super useful, thanks to the narrowing testing criteria. I'll continue to report them, but won't compare to week previous, as this is meaningless. Fri: 6243, Sat 5362, Sat 4138, Sun 3691. (graph is similarly useless so won't be presented). 2/
Read 14 tweets
Jan 15,
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 14th. 1/ Cases/d yest 6326, a 0.2% drop from last Thurs's 6341. 7d ave now 5997 a 44.9% incr wk over wk from 4138. Positivity 37.88% compared to last Thurs 38.42% (essentially flat). Don't let the slight drop wk over wk lull you, changing test criteria make everything inaccurate. 2/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 13,
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Thurs Jan 13th. 1/ Cases/d yest 6002 a 22.7% incr from last Tues's 4892. 7d ave (back tomorrow, @ByMatthewBlack taking a day off) Positivity 40.91% up from last wks 39.17%. 2/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 13,
One thing we need to recognize is that we DON'T KNOW so much about Omicron, including the subacute and chronic effects. It's so different from past strains, it's not surprising it is a very different illness. We know it causes less pneumonitis, but what don't we know? 1/ Aside from LongCOVID effects, the other big unknown is the exact mortality curve. I've been watching South Africa, Denmark, and UK, and NONE of them have maxed out their death curve. 2/
Read 8 tweets
Jan 12,
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Jan 12th. 1/ Cases/d yest 6975 a 47.6% incr from last Tues's 4726. 7d ave 5848 a 55.7% incr wk over wk from 3757. Positivity 38.33% up from last wks 37.1%. 2/ ImageImageImageImage
Read 9 tweets
Jan 10,
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Monday Jan 10th covering Fri/Sat/Sun. 1/ Cases/d: Fri 6282, a % incr over last Fri's 4445. Sat 6247, a % incr over last wk's 3252. Sun 5584 a % incr from last wk's 1991. Positivity Fri 41.55% (new pandemic record) (last Fri 34.52%) Sat 38.31% (34.35%) Sun 38.58% (27.95%). 2/
Read 10 tweets
Jan 8,
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 7th. 1/ Cases/d yest 6347 a 40.2% incr from last Thurs's 4528. Of course, new pandemic record (until next week) Positivity 38.22% compared with 39.05% yest and 32.90% last Thurs. 2/
Read 7 tweets
Jan 6,
Here's your AB Covid # analysis for Thurs Jan 6th. 1/ Yest cases/d 4957, a 19.9% incr from last week's 4133. New pandemic record (of course). Positivity 39.05% compared w/ last WEd's 30.46%. New pandemic record (of course). Of the two tests, positivity more accurate for severity of problem. 2/
Read 7 tweets
Jan 6,
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Jan 5th. 1/ Yest cases/d 4768, a 69% incr from last Tues's 2823. Case positivity 36.92% compared to yest 36.2% and last Tues 30.08%. Both cases/d and positivity acheive new records for the pandemic. 2/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 5,
Here's your AB COViD # analysis for Tues Jan 4th. I'm going to focus on the last 24 hours as the data dump of Dec 29-yesterday is immense. 1/ Yest cases 2976 a 107% rised from 1440. Record cases of 4578 on 30 Dec. Remember these cases immensely underestimate true case rate in the province, thanks to undertesting, changed test criteria, holiday period, RATs being done at home, etc. 2/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 30, 2021
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Dec 29th. I'll focus on the last 24 hours, and throw in a whole bunch of caveats, because some of this data is not as useful as it used to be. 1/ Cases/d yest 2800, a new pandemic record, and a % incr over last Tues's 1359. Except this data point is nowhere close as useful to a similar cases/d at any previous time of the pandemic, as evidenced by the record positivity of 29.88% (last Tues 11.89%). 2/
Read 9 tweets
Dec 29, 2021
Next big debate in Alberta is whether schools should open again in 6 days. It's a tough one, balancing the role of schools in contributing to community spread, and longCOVID in kids, vs. equity with challenges in keeping kids at home for many parents 1/ Yesterday Premier Kenney continued to promote the myth that "in-class transmission has not been a major source of community transmission in Alberta and elsewhere" (timestamp 33:01) 2/
Read 7 tweets
Dec 22, 2021
It's time for a little walk down the path called "what wave is this?". About naming the 3rd, 4th, and now 5th waves. And why it's important. 1/ it began with the 3rd wave. Our leaders oblivious despite having evidence from previous waves of how exponential growth worked, making it predictable, and how to stop it through mitigation policies, making it preventable. #predictableandpreventablewave. 2/
Read 14 tweets
Dec 21, 2021
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Dec 11th. 1/ Cases yest 818, a 195% incr over last Mon's 277. 7d ave now 601 a 93.2% incr week over wk from 311 (Yest 70.8% fri 23.9%, Thurs 10.6%). Positivity 11.05% (last Mon 4.56%). 2/
Read 13 tweets
Dec 20, 2021
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Mon Dec 20th, covering Fri/Sat/Sun. TLDR: Omicron is going to wreck your holidays. 1/ Cases/d: Fri 630, a 101.2%% incr from last Fri's 313. Sat 724, 177.4% up from 261. Sun 580, up 190% from 200. 7d ave now 527, up 70.8% from last week's 305 (fri 23.9%, Thurs 10.6%). Positivity 6.39% (last Fri 8.81%) 8.34% (4.16%) 8.81% (3.72%). 2/
Read 13 tweets
Dec 2, 2021
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Dec 1st. 1/ Yest cases/d 435 an 8.3% decr from last Tues's 474. 7d Avde now 320, a 14.9% drop wk over wk from 376 (yest 13.3%). Positivity 4.07% down from last wk's 4.58%. All leading indicators trending down, so good. 2/
Read 8 tweets
Dec 1, 2021
This hot take is a dangerous bit of poor math. Neverymind that we don't actually know the data for Omicrom to inform this... 1/ smh.com.au/national/could… even if it is more transmissible but less virulent, IT WILL STILL KILL MORE PEOPLE because more people get infected. This is the problem with exponential growth. 2/ theconversation.com/coronavirus-va…
Read 4 tweets
Dec 1, 2021
A short thread examining expert advice on airborne transmission in this new @calgaryherald article. 1/ calgaryherald.com/news/local-new… This whole paragraph is incorrect. Aerosol spread has been shown to be dominant, from well before Nov 2020. In fact, there is no evidence for droplet spread, and minimal evidence for contact. 2/ cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
Read 9 tweets
Dec 1, 2021
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Nov 30th covering Fri/Sat/Sun/Mon, because. 1/ Cases/d Fri 335 a 28.1% drop from last Fri's 466. Sat 253 a 33.2% drop from 379. Sun 231 a 14.7% drop from 271. and Mon 239 a 12.5 % drop from 273. Four in a row of dropping cases, that's great news. 7d ave now 326 a 13.3% drop wk over wk from 376 (friday flat) 1/
Read 9 tweets
Nov 30, 2021
Hey folks, long time no see. 1/ Hey so funny story. On Saturday a new fake twitter account popped up using my name and image. I thought oh, maybe I need to get a verified account now? So applied for one, only to find out I don't qualify (not enough followers they said). 2/
Read 5 tweets
Oct 12, 2021
A short thread on the hypocrisy of hypocrisy climate shaming. 1/ Earlier this weekend I put out a call for help in finding accommodation in Glasgow for the upcoming climate summit that I am chaperoning my activist daughter at. Accommodations are tight and was hoping to find a spot (I think we're set, or close). 2/
Read 16 tweets