Senior Fellow @StimsonCenter. Adjunct @GeorgetownCSS. Non-Res Fellow @TheKrulakCenter. Foreign/defense policy, alliances, airpower, and mil ops. Proud Bostonian
Mar 1 • 12 tweets • 2 min read
UAE is shooting down ~92% of everything Iran throws at it. That's extraordinary. Yet the financial toll of sustaining that defense is enormous, raising the prospect that tactical ‘victory’ masks a costly strategic drain. A 🧵👇
2/ Since Feb 28, Iran has fired at the UAE:
I’m excited to share my latest @stimsoncenter report w/ @HunterSlingbaum and Jonathan Walker on why Chinese missile threats U.S. air bases in I-P.
BLUF: USAF could be grounded in theater in the first days and even weeks of a war. No easy answers
A 🧵 stimson.org/2024/cratering…1/ Our report models repeated Chinese missile attacks on U.S. air bases in Japan, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the Pacific Freely Associated States to determine for how long China could keep the runways and taxiways closed to U.S. air operations.
May 23, 2023 • 26 tweets • 5 min read
What does the F-16 decision mean for Ukraine? BLUF: The F-16s are unlikely to be the “game changer” so many seem to believe, and it leaves important questions about strategy and goals unanswered. A 🧵 politico.com/news/2023/05/2…1/ The F-16 is an upgrade from Ukraine’s Soviet-era fighter jets (MiG-29s. Zelensky welcome the decision, saying, “this will greatly enhance our army in the sky.”But F-16s are unlikely to be the “game changer” so many seem to believe.
Mar 22, 2022 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
This article nicely documents the bravery of Ukrainian pilots, but its conception of the fight for air control strikes me as dated. Thrread below nytimes.com/2022/03/22/wor…2/ It seems to depict Top-Gun style aerial dogfights as the locus of the fight for air control. They are not. As the article acknowledges, the Russians are flying about 200 sorties per day, and the Ukrainians five to 10.
