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Kharis Templeman 祁凱立 Profile picture
Kharis Templeman 祁凱立
@kharisborloff
Political scientist w/ Hoover Project on Taiwan in Indo-Pacific @Stanford. Formerly @UMich, @UofR. Oregon-born and raised.
Nov 26, 2022 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
Waking up to the Taiwan election results and it’s quite a blowout.

Gonna note in this thread some lower-profile results that may be overlooked.

1. The KMT candidate in Tainan is doing better (~43.6%) than in Kaohsiung (~40%). Under generic conditions it should be opposite. 2. In Pingtung, #DPP candidate Chou Chun-mi is going to win but barely, with <50% of the vote. Currently 49-46.7%

Looks like the party’s factional splits there carried over into this election.

In 2018 the same KMT candidate lost 56-43%.
Aug 17, 2021 • 14 tweets • 3 min read
This is a bad analogy.

Since this (and similar tweets from China's Global Times) are getting a lot of oxygen, let's go through why events in Afghanistan do not tell us anything about the US commitment to Taiwan. 1/x 1st, depth & length of commitment. The US has been in a security relationship with Taiwan for 72 years. Starting in June 1950, when President Truman sent the U.S. 7th Fleet to the Taiwan Strait after outbreak of Korean War.
taipeitimes.com/News/feat/arch…

2/x
Oct 21, 2020 • 15 tweets • 5 min read
I'm seeing a lot of this interpretation of recent PLA exercises near Taiwan. There's plenty that I think is implausible about this argument but let me focus on two: timing, and expected costs. First, is time "not on China's side"? If we think of the main obstacle to unification not as what's happening in Taiwan, but rather the US, then this seems wrong.

In fact, @RushDoshi has argued that PRC elites think the US is in accelerating decline:

foreignpolicy.com/2020/10/12/chi…
Oct 15, 2020 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
On this day in 1984, Henry Liu 劉宜良, pen name Chiang Nan 江南, was shot to death in his driveway in Daly City, CA.

Liu was a naturalized American citizen who’d written an unauthorized biography of Chiang Ching-kuo, the the leader of martial-law-era Taiwan. Liu's murder was a brazen act: on American soil, of an American citizen, by members of the Taiwan-based Bamboo Gang.

The killing was allegedly ordered by Vice Admiral Wang Hsi-ling 汪希苓, at the time the head of the MND intelligence bureau under Chiang Ching-kuo.
Aug 29, 2020 • 29 tweets • 9 min read
President Tsai announces Taiwan will allow pork imports from pigs fed ractopamine, a lean-muscle additive that's used in 90+% of US ag. This is a big deal on several levels. 1/x 1st, the political motive here is to overcome a major, longstanding hurdle in US-Taiwan trade talks.

US ag interests are a key sticking point for negotiating an FTA. Taiwan for a long time had a ban on US beef and pork imports. US position is: no imports, no negotiations. 2/x
Jan 10, 2020 • 37 tweets • 12 min read
It’s election eve in Taiwan! 18.8 million voters are eligible to go to the polls tomorrow to decide Taiwan’s next president and legislature.

Tweet storm follows about Election Day procedures in #taiwanelection As in every #Taiwanelection, the election is held on a Saturday, and polls will be open from 8-4pm.

Polling places are typically public buildings: schools, community centers, etc., w/in easy walking distance.

There is usually one polling station for every 1500-3000 voters.