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Kirill Shamiev Profile picture
Kirill Shamiev
@kirlant
Civ-mil, public policy & RU politics. PhD in PoliSci. Policy Fellow at @ECFR. Tweets in personal capacity only.
Jun 10 • 10 tweets • 6 min read
Returning to my notes. The trip was illuminating, as it helped me to reconnect with people there and test some of my assumptions about the country, its society, the war, and the potential for negotiations. A thread with general and not scientific observations. 1/10 I have three immediate observations. 1: UA was barely mentioned in conversations about the war and West-RU relations. It felt like UA was seen either a tool or an obstacle to achieving RU FP goals. RU has a broader view of the conflict than how Europeans discuss it. 2/10 Image
Jun 18, 2024 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
Sad news about Viacheslav Morozov. A lot has been said about it, but I've noticed two worrying patterns of reaction that I think need to be highlighted 1/10 When the arrest happened a lot of academics were in disbelief. They claimed he had anti-Putin beliefs, was nice and smart. Allegedly that is why he could not be an agent. In my chats, even now some people say “but he was vocally anti-Putin!” 2/10
Jan 14, 2024 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
Yesterday Lithuania commemorated the January events in Vilnius when 14 people were killed by the Soviet army and the KGB in an attempt to thwart Lithuanian independence. This story is relevant today and offers some lessons about Moscow's playbook and how to stop it. A thread 1/12 In response to LT declaration of independence on March 11, 1990, Gorbachev demanded its revocation. The USSR's reaction was to tighten its grip on the country, deploying troops, seizing archives, and targeting young Lithuanians avoiding conscription. 2/12
Jul 25, 2023 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Russian regions will soon have the authority to establish their own private military companies and arm them, according to the proposed amendments being rushed through the State Duma. 1/5 The amendment allows governors to create state-owned enterprises during “mobilization, military emergencies, or wartime to aid security forces in safeguarding the national borders, combating sabotage and reconnaissance groups, and illegal armed formations.” 2/5