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Martha Gimbel Profile picture
Martha Gimbel
@marthagimbel
Yale, former @whitehousecea, @indeed, @jecdems, @USDOL, among others. Personal opinions.
Aug 13, 2022 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
Since it’s the time of year when many @WhiteHouseCEA staff turnover, and I’m still processing people’s departures, here is a thread on some of the amazing junior staff who recently did a tour at @WhiteHouseCEA: (A few caveats: 1) this does not include junior staff who recently joined/are still here, 2) this does not include the staffers who are too smart to be on twitter, who are also amazing and who I miss every day, and 3) this does not include our awesome seniors)
Jul 30, 2020 • 13 tweets • 2 min read
Given the millions of people who filed for unemployment insurance AGAIN this week, a quick thread on work disincentives 1/ Don't get excited, this thread will not have cool data analysis. @ernietedeschi has all the cool data analysis on work disincentives 2/
Oct 2, 2019 • 17 tweets • 4 min read
A jobs day thread: The share of the labor force stuck in long-term unemployment is not improving...and one of the obvious culprits isn't to blame 1/ The long-term unemployment rate is 0.8% and it's been stuck around there for over a year.
Sep 5, 2019 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
One quick jobs day thread: if the jobs numbers have felt more volatile this year....that's because they have been Looking at variation in month-to-month job numbers, volatility was quite low in 2017 and 2018. The variation was similar to what we saw in 2013 and 2014. But this year has looked more like 2015 and 2016, when the volatility increased.
Aug 2, 2019 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
Three-month moving average still solid, but definitely moving down Wage growth continuing to flatline, very frustrating at this point in the cycle and after the pick-up last year
Jul 8, 2019 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
So since this episode was recorded on the summer Friday after July 4th when it seemed like no one but the Jobs Day crew was working....let's discuss data around vacation in the US. With graphs! 77% of private-sector workers in the US had access to paid vacation in 2018. Compare that to...77% in 2010. At the same time paid family leave access has jumped from 10% to 16% and paid sick days from 63% to 71%.
Jan 29, 2019 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
Ahead of jobs day on Friday - how will the shutdown show up in the jobs report numbers? Honestly....it may be hard to detect...and may involve diving deep into BLS tables 1/ The shutdown is most likely to show up in the unemployment rate, but only if Federal and government contract workers identify themselves as unemployed.
Jan 24, 2019 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
As the government shutdown drags on, Federal workers who aren't getting paid are increasingly looking for work. And it looks like even workers at some funded agencies are starting to consider their future in government. 1/ We took a look at four unfunded agencies—the TSA, Department of Homeland Security, the IRS, and the Census Bureau. All four are seeing clicks on new jobs by their current employees elevated above where they usually are at this time of year.
Sep 19, 2018 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Tomorrow the unemployment claims numbers will be released and people will talk about how they are the lowest since 1969. Just a reminder that this is a Bad Take. 1/ Unlike the unemployment rate, or the prime-age employment ratio, policy changes over time mean that someone eligible to be counted as a receiver of UI benefits today is NOT the same as someone in 1969 2/