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mattparlmer 🪐 🌷 Profile picture
mattparlmer 🪐 🌷
@mattparlmer
making machines that make other machines @genfabco - rationalist, humanist, liberal, and friend of the future
Dec 24 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
H5 influenza, covid, and RSV, and regular influenza A numbers from the main wastewater treatment plant in SF

Previous H5 reading was 6.5, jumped to 228.8

There are no major dairy processing facilities in SF and people don't flush pet waste, so this is likely coming from people Image
Image
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Image Link to the wastewater monitoring dataset, as you can probably see there's a clear trend despite some inconsistent sampling data.wastewaterscan.org/tracker/?chart…
Dec 7 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
Low hanging fruit for US domestic electronics production:

- server motherboards/other major components
- networking hardware
- commercial radio transceivers
- industrial controllers
- gaming consoles
- high end sensor packages

What else? More difficult to reshore:

- cameras/other commodity CMOS
- TVs/screens
- phones/laptops/desktops

Extremely difficult:

- batteries
- commodity components (esp passives)
- thermal management systems
Nov 6 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
For the Dems to have won this they would have to be an entirely different party

For example:
- Admit when their leader has declined into senility circa 2022
- Select a new leader via an open primary process, not a closed door conclave
- Make any attempt at all at persuasion They were incapable of doing these things because they are the party of the permanent administrative state, which is the only coalition that matters to them

All their messaging was targeted at the people they already represented
Oct 18 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
The QTs on this post are very interesting and worth perusing if you want an idea of how dysfunctional American politics is and will likely remain for the next few decades There are two types of QT above

Type 1: standard lib and leftie pile-on of the Helldump variety, per usual they're missing the point/proving his point

Type 2: righties dunking on him but also incorrectly inferring that he's making a racial point in addition battle-of-the-sexes
Jan 3 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Possible
Meissner
Effect
Near
Room
Temperature
In
Copper
Substituted
Lead
Apatite

arxiv.org/abs/2401.00999
arxiv.org/abs/2401.00999 Well well well Image
Dec 1, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
There is no greater self-own than a VC that can’t justify investing in companies with physical footprint because they get scared of longer return timelines

This like so many issues with the technology industry’s overgrown finance support function boils down to pure skill issue If you as a professional financier can’t talk LPs into a 15-20yr return horizons (with god knows how many opportunities for cashout along the way given even modest success) you should find a different field to work in, maybe underwriting home loans or something more your speed
Aug 3, 2023 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
People who are saying "it's over" every time there's a lukewarm or conservative statement from a lab working on LK-99 have a bad model of academic research

A lot of the big university and state labs have an incentive to slowwalk this for a couple different reasons First, until the supercomputer sims from a few days ago essentially nobody on the physics theory side of things thought this was plausible

A lot of high ego researchers are in either denial or bargaining phase about their approach to this problem space over the last few decades
Mar 30, 2023 • 17 tweets • 4 min read
In the past I have given credit where it was due to Eliezer Yudkowsky for not explicitly advocating violent solutions to the problems with AI development that by his own admission only he and a few other (mostly nontechnical) people see on the horizon

He crossed that line today Since he has graduated from begging the question to openly stating that blowing things and people up is a reasonable thing to do I think we should dispense with the politeness that has been the norm around these discussions in the past

EY does not know what he’s talking about
Mar 29, 2023 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
Immense amount of cope out there rn esp in light of that letter

We are well over the event horizon, people are just gonna have to make peace with the fact that there will be many entities swimming in the pool with us that are many times smarter than the baseline human I say "entities" and not "transformers" because transformers are first and foremost a tool for augmenting humans

Low bandwidth text UI is just the beginning, we will be plugging human brains directly into these and other forms of machine intelligence very soon
Jan 9, 2023 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
One in eight cases of childhood asthma attributable to gas stoves used in the home

Exposure to gas stoves is dangerous, the stats for restaurant workers will be off the charts when they get around to measuring them

mdpi.com/1660-4601/20/1… You really should not need a bunch of studies to work thru the potential negative implications of openly burning a bunch of gas in the middle of your home several times a day but if you do, here are a bunch of studies
Jan 9, 2023 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
From time to time I’ll listen to NPR to get a read on what that particular media bubble is on about

Today the New Yorker Radio Hour did a “the year ahead in sports but”, and started with the Damar Hamlin heart attack

They neglected to mention the spike in similar incidents Instead of being journalistic and asking why it is we have had a significant spike in adverse cardiac events among some of the most physically conditioned people on the planet, they waxed poetic for several minutes about the inherent violence in football

This seems disingenuous
Nov 18, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
An eleven year sentence for Liz Holmes is wildly excessive She took money from powerful people to advance novel technology

When this didn't pan out as quickly as they demanded and she tried to pivot the company to compete directly with politically powerful testing services like LabCorp and Quest, they had her lynched in the press
Nov 4, 2022 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
At >80% now

Markets tomorrow AM are gonna be wack Idk where risk is pooled rn but I think we're about to find out

75bp hike was essentially the Fed committing to a deep recession

I'm at my limit with the Fed and these Treasury Dept-integrated banking houses, the terms of this arrangement need to be renegotiated
Nov 3, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Everybody keeps misinterpreting what I'm saying here and what I'm not

Engineers cannot extract a better macroeconomics from their butts just because they are engineers

Engineers can solve a lot of the discrete, concrete, acute problems driving the economy off a cliff It is plainly obvious that mainstream Keynesian macroeconomics is roughly as scientific as its "heterodox" Austrian and Marxian counterparts

It is an open question whether economic problems qua the global economy can even be modeled, though I'd like people to try
Nov 3, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Some fields are categorically better at understanding (and describing, analyzing, predicting) the world than others

Other fields misdirect public resources with toy models

Keep taking shitty fields to task, time's up on lazy social science, especially when it LARPs as physics We do not have the societal decisionmaking breathing room to give macroecon time to fix itself at a leisurely academic pace

Scholar-official macroeconomists went and crashed the dollar (and lot besides) into a wall because their models suck and they don't know what's going on
Nov 3, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Normalize entry-level transhumanism I've never once seen well thought out plastic surgery end up badly for somebody

People I'm close to have gone under the knife to repair stuff that they were insecure about and it was a big improvement for them
Nov 2, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Twitter shipped features at the slowest pace in the industry for years due to managerial infighting and organizational paralysis

Companies rarely pull out of this death spiral, when they do it's because of staff heroics

Doctors pull night shift all time time, engineers can too You do overnights when the shit hits the fan so that you don't have to do overnights later

Product needs to ship and sometimes that requires engineer and manager hours in the 70+/wk range

This is why the industry has extremely high TC, unlimited vacation, and flexibility
Nov 2, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
We need shitpoaster representation on the Twitter safety board to ensure that protection for anon accounts makes it into whatever the new political settlement on here end up being Ideally this person would be a fairly well-established pseudonym account like @eigenrobot

Anons and alts are the heart and soul of this platform and if they get chased out for advertiser legibility reasons it's gonna damage the user experience permanently
Nov 1, 2022 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Really important to differentiate threats to the careers of objectively incompetent scholar-officials from actual threats to democracy, something that everybody left of center seems to have a problem doing right now While he was incredibly obnoxious and offensive, at no point was Trump himself a threat to democracy

I could be convinced that Jeff Sessions and Bob Barr were to a limited degree, but that's because they are security state supremacists much like Kamala Harris
Nov 1, 2022 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
I don't think people understand yet that a lot of people are gonna have to lose their jobs (and some go to jail for lying to the public/congress) for this to be made right

We're not trying to work out a nice middle position here, the medical-security complex needs to end This is not a moral or culture war issue, incompetent authoritarians in the public health bureaucracy abused emergency powers to crash the global economy and kill a ton of people in the process

These people cannot work in the civil service or in govt-funded research anymore
Oct 31, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Tbh I'd be happy with slightly below fair prices plus a cessation of "we're still deploying capital" rhetoric and the tasking of associates to waste founders' time when most firms have shut off the taps I will say it is kinda funny that "funding risk" is a concept in an industry that is premised on making many high risk bets as parts of a consortium in areas where the primary competition is almost always from legacy industries not emerging players

Moloch strikes again