Maths / statistician working in epidemiology and phylogenetics @warwickstats and @UKHSA. Mainly focused on @NHSCOVID19app since early 2020.
Mar 17, 2021 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
There will be stories in the coming days of how the UK R rate is "creeping up". This information is
a) almost certainly true
b) hard to interpret
c) probably not as scary as it sounds
A short thread ⬇️
Quick note: I'm talking purely from cases data found on the government dashboard here: coronavirus.data.gov.uk
Other measures and leading indicators are available.
Jul 22, 2020 • 20 tweets • 4 min read
Interesting read from @ruskin147. How can we know if contact tracing apps are working? A thread. 1/n
First, the theory. We know contact tracing is effective against the spread of infectious diseases. It has been used for centuries in combination with isolation of infected people, and is credited with suppressing many epidemics including SARS-COV-1. 2/n
