THREAD MN EIPV/VBM Statistics - 11/2 Update.
Thanks to all who have RTed/followed. Over 2,300 followers! RT & Follow. 11/1 Data Drop. @CottoGottfried @LarrySchweikart @TRElections @PollWatch2020 @quantuspolling @Politics_Polls @Barnes_Law @mattquigley4IL @RealAPolitics (1)(2) There is some INTERESTING & NEW data (to me) that I've come across on voter registrations that will help Trump BIGLY!!! Let me dissect that a bit later on, but just wanted to call your attention to it, so you know it's in the thread. First, the graphic and my race calls.
THREAD MN Early and VBM Statistics - Oct 17 Morning Update. Thanks to all who have commented and let me know they like this analysis. RT & follow, please @CottoGottfried@LarrySchweikart @TRElections @PollWatch2020 @quantuspolling @Politics_Polls @Barnes_Law (1)(2) I have added some rows and columns to my table. Here's the one I've got for today that updates the state of things here in MN with yesterday's data drop from TargetSmart.
Let's go through it!
Oct 16, 2020 • 19 tweets • 6 min read
THREAD MN Early and VBM Statistics - Oct 16 Morning Update. Thanks to all who have commented and let me know they like this analysis. RT & follow, please @CottoGottfried@LarrySchweikart@TRElections@PollWatch2020@quantuspolling@Politics_Polls@Barnes_Law (1)(2) I'm going to get uber-geeky today, but it's the data scientist/mathematician in me. Let's take a deep dive into yesterday's numbers. I wanted to answer two questions:
- Where does the net vote margin banked stand today?
- What is ahead in terms of available votes to bank?
Oct 14, 2020 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
MN Early Voting & VBM Update -- October 14 THREAD @CottoGottfried@LarrySchweikart@TRElections@davidchapman141@RealAPolitics@quantuspolling Follow me to get updates! RT also to send to your friends! Many thanks to all who have let me know they appreciate this analysis. (1)
(2)As of today's update, 24.5% of the vote that showed up in 2016 has now been banked by Early In Person & VBM in Minnesota. So, we can begin to get an idea of some of the math that carries us from here into Election Day.
Oct 12, 2020 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
@CottoGottfried@RealAPolitics@PollWatch2020@davidchapman141@LarrySchweikart THREAD - MN Early Voting/VBM Update - Lunchtime October 12, 2020. Quick update today, but will have more as we go through the week, so follow me to see more updates. (1)(2) I checked the D/R/I numbers on ballot returns in Dakota County. Only 1,000 net vote margin banked for Biden so far here and Hillary got almost 25% of her 44K statewide vote margin here. Key county for Trump to keep even with Biden, or flip to red and it's looking good.
