What I call Seemingly Conscious AI has been keeping me up at night - so let's talk about it. What it is, why I'm worried, why it matters, and why thinking about this can lead to a better vision for AI. One thing is clear: doing nothing isn't an option. 1/ Seemingly Conscious AI (SCAI) is the illusion that an AI is a conscious entity. It's not - but replicates markers of consciousness so convincingly it seems indistinguishable from you + I claiming we're conscious. It can already be built with today's tech. And it's dangerous. 2/

We're taking a big step towards medical superintelligence. AI models have aced multiple choice medical exams – but real patients don’t come with ABC answer options. Now MAI-DxO can solve some of the world’s toughest open-ended cases with higher accuracy and lower costs. While AI has achieved near-perfect scores on the US Medical Licensing Exam, we set a higher benchmark: 304 cases from the New England Journal of Medicine. These are some of the toughest and most diagnostically complex cases a physician can face.

ICYMI: we made a lot of Copilot announcements this morning! Some of the highlights of what’s rolling out today + in the coming weeks 🧵
Copilot can remember you now, from the name of your dog to whether you feel most productive first thing in the morning. You’re always in control, and can delete any conversation at any time. This is the start of really personalizing your Copilot.

You can't just be right, you have to know you're right. Good advice for LLMs, according to new Johns Hopkins research. Sometimes no answer is better than a wrong one – life or death choices in medicine, for example, or big financial decisions. 🧵 We know more compute results in higher accuracy, but are the models more confident those answers ARE accurate too? And how do we teach them when to say “I don’t know”? That’s what the research team wanted to find out.

Today we’ve made Think Deeper free and available for all users of Copilot.

This now gives everyone access to OpenAI’s world class o1 reasoning model in Copilot, everywhere at no cost.

I urge you to give it a try. It’s truly magical. Think Deeper helps you: Get in-depth advice on how to manage a career change, with detailed breakdowns of educational milestones and options, resources on where to look for roles, strategies for getting in the door and industry trends you absolutely need to know.

After Ethan's post, I went on a deep dive into this study! I could go on and on about the results but if I had to boil it down to my biggest takeaways...🧵

https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1879633485004165375

The setup: For 6 weeks, students used Copilot in their computer lab 2x/week, guided by teachers on selected topics and grammar/writing tasks.
The results: A pen and paper test showed their scores improving .3 standard deviations, the equivalent of almost 2 years of learning.

Very excited to announce my new book: The Coming Wave

Today's AI is only the start. A wave of emerging technologies will help address global challenges & create vast wealth. But they will also create upheaval on a once unimaginable scale.

THE-COMING-WAVE.COM These are ideas I've been thinking about for over a decade. This is my attempt to understand how and why technology naturally proliferates, and what society needs to do to remain in control.

I argue that “containing” this coming wave is the defining challenge of the century.