Long-term investor. BSc in Economics, MSc in Finance. Equity Analyst with a focus on Fundamental Analysis and Valuation. Not a financial advisor.
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Feb 17 • 14 tweets • 26 min read
Until last week, my portfolio consisted only of founder-led stocks, but I finally made an exception by opening a position in $DLO.
Here’s a thread breaking down my investment thesis and why I believe its CEO deserves my trust: 👇🏻🧵 1. Origins
$DLO was founded as a response to a pressing issue in Latin America: the difficulty of making online payments. The company’s origins trace back to Uruguay, where Sebastián Kanovich, one of the key founders, first encountered the problem firsthand. As a young economist with no prior background in technology, Sebastián stumbled into the fintech world by chance when he realized that making international online purchases was nearly impossible for consumers in his home country. His personal frustration — specifically, being unable to buy an NBA League Pass or shop online without borrowing a credit card — led him to recognize a larger systemic issue.
He joined forces with two partners who had already begun assembling an initial team to address these payment challenges. At the time, he was working at Santander Bank but was drawn to the opportunity to build something innovative. The founding team’s first venture into payments was a small-scale operation, focusing on a single solution for one customer. They initially operated with a kiosk model, solving local payment issues in Uruguay before expanding their scope.
The company’s first major breakthrough came with Brazil’s Boleto system, a widely used cash-based payment method. Traditionally, Brazilian consumers would generate a Boleto — a type of payment slip — and physically pay it at a bank or kiosk. $DLO developed a solution that digitized this process, allowing users to issue Boletos at checkout and complete transactions seamlessly. While the team initially believed they had solved a major problem, they soon realized that payment challenges extended far beyond Brazil and involved a wide array of localized payment methods across Latin America, Africa, and Asia.
$DLO's growth trajectory accelerated as global companies began seeking ways to expand into emerging markets. Initially, large U.S. firms like Facebook and Google were hesitant to invest in Latin American payment solutions, focusing instead on European expansion. However, as emerging markets gained importance in global business strategies, interest in $DLO's services grew. The company transitioned from offering just a single payment method to aggregating over 900 different payment solutions across various regions, all accessible through a single API. This comprehensive approach significantly increased $DLO's value proposition.
A pivotal moment came when GoDaddy became $DLO's first major U.S. client. Initially, $DLO attempted a direct-to-consumer (B2C) model, launching a prepaid card under its own brand. However, GoDaddy’s feedback was clear: customers didn’t care about the brand, they cared about seamless payment solutions. This insight pushed $DLO to pivot towards a B2B model, positioning itself as an infrastructure provider rather than a consumer-facing brand. This shift proved to be a game-changer, enabling the company to secure more enterprise clients and scale its operations globally.
Feb 6 • 11 tweets • 11 min read
Founder-led companies have historically outperformed the market by a wide margin — but choosing wisely is crucial.
Here are 10 interesting companies where the founder remains both the CEO and the largest shareholder: 👇🏻🧵
1) $NBIS
• Emerging leader in AI infrastructure, providing a full-stack AI cloud platform, high-performance computing, and advanced data center solutions
• Its story begins within Yandex, but it’s now fully independent, with no ties to Russia — founder and executives relocated and changed nationalities to avoid sanctions
• Positioned to benefit from the skyrocketing demand for AI computing power, offering cost-effective and energy-efficient solutions
• Strong competitive edge in cost efficiency, with total GPU costs up to 25% lower than industry averages due to vertical integration and strategic partnerships
• Industry-leading energy efficiency, with best-in-class Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of ~1.13
• Strategic partnership with NVIDIA, which recently invested in $NBIS — will be the first provider in Europe to offer NVIDIA’s new Blackwell GPUs in 2025
• Expanding aggressively, with plans to triple its Finland data center capacity and launch new facilities across Europe and the U.S., targeting 240,000 GPUs by 2027+
• Surging Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), growing from $21M in 2023 to an estimated $170M–$190M in 2024, with projections of $750M–$1B ARR by 2025
• Strong balance sheet with over $2B in cash and no debt, but likely to raise more capital to accelerate expansion
• Several non-core divisions, including Avride (autonomous driving tech with Uber partnerships), Toloka (AI data solutions), and TripleTen (edtech), adding optionality and potential future value
• Trading at an attractive valuation compared to peers, with 7–8x forward EV/ARR despite expected 4–5x YoY growth in 2025 and 100%+ growth in 2026
• Potential for over 30% CAGR over the next few years IMO, with significant upside as institutional investors recognize its growth potential2) $HIMS
• Cash-pay model that bypasses the need for insurance
• Provides high-quality, personalized, and affordable healthcare treatments (involved in the whole process)
• Positioned to benefit from many secular trends in the huge telehealth market
• Optionality to launch new categories and easily expand into new markets (several potential catalysts)
• Customer-centric approach that delivers a better experience than its peers
• Innovation stack combined with remarkable execution positions it for continued success
• Many years of customer data make some of its competitive advantages harder to replicate, particularly the personalization of dosages to improve outcomes and reduce side effects
• 2M+ subscribers growing 40%+ YoY
• Percentage of personalized subscribers increasing at an incredibly fast rate
• Improving retention rates, a critical factor in this sector
• Highly efficient distribution network, with thousands of affiliated pharmacies
• Investing in infrastructure to verticalize its supply chain
• Capex-light business model with impressive margins (75%+ gross margins, 15%+ FCF)
• Consistently surpassed analysts' estimates since inception
• Growing revenues by 65%+ this year, and likely to compound >20%/year over the next 5 years, with further operating leverage expected
• No debt and an increasing cash pile, even while executing buybacks and reinvesting in growth and optimization
Feb 2 • 9 tweets • 9 min read
Last week, $HITI released its Q4 2024 earnings report.
As a longtime shareholder, I’ve been closely following the company for years.
Here’s a breakdown of everything: 🧵👇🏻 1. Let’s start with the Financial Results.
Record revenue of $138.3M, exceeding consensus estimates of $135M. 🟢
Signs of revenue acceleration, with double-digit growth expected in 2025. The core business grew 12% YoY, but overall growth was slightly offset by underperformance in e-commerce.
Despite a $35.2M revenue increase, total expenses declined by $5.9M, demonstrating disciplined cost management.
FCF increased from $7M to $22M YoY (+217%), highlighting improved operational efficiency.
Adjusted EBITDA rose 25% YoY to $38.3M, with margin expansion from 6.3% to 7.3%.
Achieved Net Income profitability (excluding non-cash impairments) for the first time: $1.2M vs. a ($6.7M) loss YoY.
Same-store sales (SSS) increased 0.4% YoY and 3% QoQ, outperforming the broader cannabis retail market, which declined 1% YoY. I was expecting SSS to show slightly better growth, but it’s still a solid performance given the overall market conditions.
Gross margins remained stable YoY at 26% (down from 27% QoQ) – The company is avoiding price increases to allow weaker competitors to exit the market, setting up for future margin expansion.
“More and more competitors are leaving the race, big chains are struggling, middle size chains are struggling, independents are struggling. So as more competitors get out of the race, there's not going to be a lot of competitors remaining to be waging a price war with us. And at that point, we have a tremendous opportunity to increase gross margins in our core Canadian cannabis business.”
$HITI ended the fiscal year with a record cash balance of $47.3M and no debt maturities until September 2027. Total debt stands at $27M, with only $12M maturing in 2027.
All in all, $HITI delivered a strong quarter. As industry consolidation progresses, the company is well-positioned to enhance margins and drive sustained long-term growth. It’s important to note that the overall market has been struggling due to the resurgence of the illicit market, but management has been highly competent in navigating these short-term headwinds.
Jan 23 • 9 tweets • 7 min read
Alignment between managers and shareholders is one of the most important drivers of long-term success.
Here are 8 stocks from companies where the Founder & CEO holds a 20%+ stake: 👇🏻🧵
1) $TEM
The Founder & CEO, Eric Lefkofsky, owns 24.7% of the company.
Everyone is talking about it after Nancy Pelosi purchased $50k–$100k worth of call options set to expire in January 2026. Following a rally of over 30% because of this, I’ve decided not to start a position for now. However, it’s definitely an intriguing company that I’m keeping on my radar.
• It’s essentially a precision medicine company leveraging AI to analyze clinical and molecular data, enabling personalized treatment decisions, advancing drug discovery, and facilitating earlier disease diagnosis
• Initially, the company focused solely on oncology patients, but it soon recognized the immense potential of expanding into other diseases
• They’ve built the world’s largest library of clinical and molecular data, and now every major pharmaceutical company wants to collaborate with them
• The key advantage lies in the comprehensiveness of their datasets and AI tools, which enable deeper insights and more actionable results
• More than 50% of oncologists in the U.S. are using $TEM, creating a strong network effect
• The post-IPO lockup period recently expired, which is why the stock is down ~50% in the last month or so (potential opportunity)
• The recently announced acquisition of Ambry Genetics will accelerate its path to profitability, with the combination of both businesses already being EBITDA and cash flow positive (according to $TEM's CEO in the last earnings call) — this should be a strong catalyst
• As $NVDA's CEO said, I believe the next revolution brought by AI will be in biotech/healthcare, so I'm expecting this sector to get hotter in the foreseeable future
• In 2024, $TEM's Data Licensing revenue had a NRR of ~140%
• 19 of the 20 largest public pharmaceutical companies in the world are collaborating with $TEM
• The AI healthcare market is projected to grow from ~$21B in 2024 to close to $150B in 2029, a CAGR of over 48% — $TEM is in a unique position to benefit from this
• Both Google and Novo Nordisk are shareholders of the company2) $ELIX.L
The Founder & CEO, Stephen Newton, owns 24.1% of the company.
• Elixirr provides tailored consulting services across industries, specializing in innovation, strategy, and digital transformation (including AI and data-related services)
• It consistently delivers double-digit revenue growth with very solid margins (H1 29% Adj. EBITDA and 13% FCF)
• Impressive selection of clients, including Bank of America, LVMH, Tesla, Bloomberg, Diageo, and many others
• Elixirr has been named on the World’s Best Management Consulting Firms 2024 list by Forbes
• It has a solid cash balance with literally no debt
• Elixirr’s M&A team screened a further 700+ targets in H1 2024, with several potential acquisition opportunities currently in advanced stages
• Expected to grow revenue by >25% this year
• A valid risk to point out is the company’s customer concentration, with ~49% of revenue coming from the top 10 customers
I have to admit, this company only recently caught my attention through a screener, so I still need to conduct more research on it.
Jan 20 • 14 tweets • 12 min read
Nancy Pelosi just bought $50k-$100k in call options for $TEM.
It’s unusual for her to invest in small-cap stocks, so now everyone is wondering what’s so special about it...
Luckily, I was already preparing a thread about the company.
Here's an extensive summary of $TEM's investment thesis: 👇🏻🧵1. Introduction to $TEM
Tempus AI, or $TEM, is a cutting-edge precision medicine company founded in 2015 by Eric Lefkofsky. The inspiration for Tempus arose from Lefkofsky’s personal life — his wife’s battle with breast cancer revealed how limited the role of technology was in shaping her care. Determined to change this, Lefkofsky set out to integrate advanced technology into healthcare, addressing a critical gap in the industry.
At its core, $TEM leverages AI to analyze vast amounts of clinical, imaging and molecular data. Its goal is ambitious yet clear: to revolutionize healthcare by enabling personalized treatment decisions, advancing drug discovery, and facilitating earlier and more accurate disease diagnoses.
$TEM initially focused only on oncology, enabling doctors to deliver tailored treatments for cancer patients. This “intelligent diagnostics” model proved so effective that the company expanded its efforts into other critical areas, such as neuropsychology and cardiology.
Today, $TEM's technology empowers thousands of physicians and life science companies, making a tangible difference in patients' lives.
Jan 12 • 11 tweets • 6 min read
If someone told me that the stock market was going to close for 10 years, here are 10 stocks I would comfortably own: 🧵👇🏻
1) $ASML
Semiconductors are the backbone of modern technology, and $ASML sits at the very heart of this critical industry.
With its monopoly on cutting-edge EUV lithography systems, $ASML enables the production of the most advanced chips that power AI, 5G, IoT, and beyond.
Its high barriers to entry and indispensable role in the semiconductor supply chain make it a company that isn’t going anywhere for the next decade.2) $MELI
In Latin America’s booming digital economy, $MELI stands as the unrivaled leader in e-commerce and fintech. Its powerful network effects, innovative payment system Mercado Pago, and robust logistics infrastructure make it an indispensable part of the region’s economic transformation.
Beyond that, Mercado Ads — its rapidly growing advertising platform — enables brands to connect with millions of consumers while driving high-margin revenue growth.
With a scalable ecosystem and diversified growth engines, $MELI is poised to dominate for the next decade.
Jan 10 • 20 tweets • 21 min read
I haven’t been this excited about a stock in a long time.
$NBIS is the most undervalued AI infrastructure company in the entire market, and I believe it will soon be recognized.
Here’s a detailed thread explaining the investment thesis: 🧵👇🏻 1. The AI revolution is upon us, reshaping industries at an extraordinary pace. As businesses embrace AI-driven solutions, the infrastructure required to sustain this transformation is emerging as a pivotal challenge.
Positioned at the forefront of the AI infrastructure market, $NBIS aims to address one of the most pressing bottlenecks in the industry.
The demand for AI infrastructure is not merely growing — it’s skyrocketing. The shift to AI requires a new generation of data centers and compute solutions, purpose-built to meet the unique demands of these technologies. $NBIS is rising to this challenge, crafting advanced infrastructure designed from the ground up to optimize AI performance.
With a vision to scale operations to hundreds of megawatts of AI compute capacity, $NBIS seeks to empower the global AI ecosystem by delivering innovative, high-performance solutions tailored for the future.
Jan 6 • 13 tweets • 10 min read
I've covered $RKLB's investment thesis in detail across multiple threads, but today, I’m breaking it down in a concise and straightforward way.
Here’s everything you need to know about $RKLB's massive potential — in under 10 minutes: 🧵👇🏻 1. Today’s space industry might be comparable to the early days of the internet. It's at a pivotal moment in its evolution, with major developments happening globally each week.
The global space economy is projected to reach $1.8T by 2035, up from $630B in 2023.
These advancements will help tackle some of the world's biggest challenges, such as climate change, disaster response, global communication gaps, agricultural efficiency, and more.
Companies like $RKLB are at the forefront, offering essential launch services and developing new technologies that promise to advance both space exploration and commercialization.
Jan 4 • 11 tweets • 10 min read
Two days ago, I found a $2B company growing revenue by 125%+ in 2024 and 100%+ in 2025, with EBITDA margins of 45% (unadjusted) and trading at 10x 2025 EBITDA.
Here's a thread explaining everything I've learned about the company so far and why it might be an opportunity: 👇🏻🧵
1. Cadeler $CDLR is a pure-play company in the offshore wind farms industry.
They don’t build turbines or manufacture components — instead, they specialize in transportation and installation (T&I) services.
Think of them as the essential backbone of offshore wind farm construction, maintenance, and decommissioning. They own and operate a fleet of vessels specifically designed for these services.
How they make money:
1️⃣ Time Charter Services & T&I Contracts
When a company wants to build an offshore wind farm, it can simply call $CDLR for their services. Revenue is recognized over time, using either fixed day rates, milestone-based payments, or a blend of both.
2️⃣ Other Revenue
This includes fees from early contract terminations and other service-related extras. It’s a much smaller portion of the company’s total revenue.
Regions:
Europe is the global leader in offshore wind farms, making it the primary source of $CDLR's revenue. However, the company is rapidly expanding its footprint in Asia and the U.S. These regions are still far behind Europe, particularly the U.S., in offshore wind development.
$CDLR is positioning itself as a key enabler in the renewable energy transition.
Let’s understand why this sector is so important 👇🏻
Dec 28, 2024 • 25 tweets • 23 min read
From micro, to small, mid, large and mega caps — Here are 25 stocks I'm watching for 2025, and WHY: 👇🏻🧵
1. $MELI
$MELI is IMO a no-brainer company to buy and hold for the next decades.
• Leading e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America, offering a wide range of services from online shopping to digital payments, logistics, and advertising solutions
• Benefits from a strong network effect, with increasing consumer participation driving more merchants and vice versa, solidifying its dominant position in the region
• Its robust logistics infrastructure and payments ecosystem (Mercado Pago) enhance customer experience, increase transaction volume, and reduce friction in the buying process
• Mercado Ads, the company's advertising platform, is growing very rapidly, allowing brands to reach millions of consumers across $MELI's marketplace and boosting the company’s high-margin revenue streams
• $MELI's leadership in a rapidly evolving digital market, coupled with its scalability, gives it a competitive edge and positions it for continued expansion and profitability
• An important potential catalyst is the rebound of the Argentine economy, which has finally emerged from a severe recession
To be honest, there are very few companies in the world that have executed as well as $MELI over the past decade.2. $ASML
$ASML is one of the most important tech companies in the world, yet many people fail to recognize its crucial role in the digital revolution.
• It's the undisputed leader in lithography systems, critical for manufacturing the most advanced semiconductor chips in the world.
• Its cutting-edge EUV technology is a monopoly, with no viable competitors in producing chips at the smallest nodes
• The global semiconductor megatrend ensures long-term growth, as industries like AI, 5G, and IoT increasingly rely on advanced chips
• With high barriers to entry and continued innovation, $ASML has cemented its position as an indispensable player in the semiconductor supply chain
When you buy $ASML, you're investing in a monopoly within one of the most crucial technological sectors of modern life.
Dec 21, 2024 • 16 tweets • 15 min read
Mega thread with 15 founder-led companies I believe will perform exceptionally well over the next 5 years: 👇🏻🧵
1) $HIMS
Yes, everyone talks about Hims & Hers now. But I'm an early investor who bought shares in the low single digits, so my investment is definitely not driven by hype.
Here's a summary of my investment thesis:
• Cash-pay model that bypasses the need for insurance
• Provides high-quality, personalized, and affordable healthcare treatments (involved in the whole process)
• Positioned to benefit from many secular trends in the huge telehealth market
• Optionality to launch new categories and easily expand into new markets (several potential catalysts)
• Customer-centric approach that delivers a better experience than its peers
• Innovation stack combined with remarkable execution positions it for continued success
• Many years of customer data make some of its competitive advantages harder to replicate, particularly the personalization of dosages to improve outcomes and reduce side effects
• 2M+ subscribers growing 40%+ YoY
• Percentage of personalized subscribers increasing at an incredibly fast rate
• Improving retention rates, a critical factor in this sector
• Highly efficient distribution network, with thousands of affiliated pharmacies
• Investing in infrastructure to verticalize its supply chain
• Capex-light business model with impressive margins (75%+ gross margins, 15%+ FCF)
• Consistently surpassed analysts' estimates since inception
• Growing revenues by 65%+ this year, and likely to compound >20%/year over the next 5 years, with further operating leverage expected
• Trading at ~20x my 2025 FCF estimates
• No debt and an increasing cash pile, even while executing buybacks and reinvesting in growth and optimization
• Founder & CEO is the largest shareholder of the company2) $ADYEN
• $ADYEN is a global payment platform known for its seamless and unified payments solutions, catering to leading merchants in developed regions
• The company excels in offering a fully integrated platform that handles online, in-store, and mobile payments, reducing complexity for businesses and improving user experiences
• $ADYEN benefits from a strong position in enterprise payments, where its customizability, reliability, and global reach set it apart from competitors
• Its unique direct-to-bank approach bypasses traditional intermediaries, lowering costs for merchants while maintaining industry-leading margins
• The company is expanding into financial services, including embedded banking and issuing solutions, which represent additional high-margin revenue streams
• With a scalable platform and strong secular tailwinds in digital payments, $ADYEN is well-positioned for long-term growth as cashless transactions become the global standard
Dec 17, 2024 • 11 tweets • 8 min read
10 stocks that I believe will outperform in 2025, with their catalysts explained: 👇🏻🧵
1) $RKLB
• The development of the space industry is accelerating every month, with major advancements happening globally and the Trump administration serving as a catalyst for U.S. operators
• By mid-2025, $RKLB is expected to finally conduct its first test launch of the Neutron rocket
• Neutron will not only break SpaceX's monopoly on medium-sized launches but will also complete $RKLB's end-to-end space ecosystem
• Even though the gap between the two best space companies in the world is clearly closing, $RKLB is still valued at less than 5% of SpaceX's most recent valuation
• $RKLB is also set to play a significant role in NASA's Mars Sample Return program
• The Space Force recently released requests for proposals for the next round of NSSL missions, and $RKLB intends to compete for a share of up to $5.6B in national security launches
And more.2) $DCTH
• $DCTH is scaling up U.S. sales of its FDA-approved HEPZATO KIT for metastatic uveal melanoma, with momentum building since its 2023 commercial launch
• PHP therapy's potential to treat additional solid tumors could expand the company’s addressable market significantly in the coming years (we'll probably know more about this in 2025)
• Analysts expect sales to grow by ~112% YoY in 2025, but based on the CEO's optimism, I expect the company to beat these estimates
• The company is nearing FCF breakeven, and this inflection point will likely act as a catalyst for a potential valuation uplift
Dec 13, 2024 • 9 tweets • 8 min read
8 stocks that will at least triple in the next 10 years, with their investment thesis summarized: 👇🏻🧵
1) $GRAB
• Leader in Southeast Asia's Mobility and Deliveries markets (drove $UBER out of the region a few years ago)
• Southeast Asia's demographics and early stages of digitalization position $GRAB for significant user and revenue expansion
• Its SuperApp model integrates Mobility, Deliveries, and Financial Services, leveraging user data to drive synergies and customer retention (flywheel effect)
• $GRAB's financial services segment capitalizes on Southeast Asia's underbanked population with innovative digital banking, payments, and lending solutions
• Gradually improving margins, with further operating leverage expected as the business scales its higher-margin segments2) $HIMS
• Cash-pay model that bypasses the need for insurance
• Provides high-quality, personalized, and affordable healthcare treatments (involved in the whole process)
• Positioned to benefit from many secular trends in the huge telehealth market
• Optionality to launch new categories and easily expand into new markets (several potential catalysts)
• Customer-centric approach that delivers a better experience than its peers
• Innovation stack combined with remarkable execution positions it for continued success
• Many years of customer data make some of its competitive advantages harder to replicate, particularly the personalization of dosages to improve outcomes and reduce side effects
• 2M+ subscribers growing 40%+ YoY
• Percentage of personalized subscribers increasing at an incredibly fast rate
• Improving retention rates, a critical factor in this sector
• Highly efficient distribution network, with thousands of affiliated pharmacies
• Investing in infrastructure to verticalize its supply chain
• Capex-light business model with impressive margins (75%+ gross margins, 15%+ FCF)
• Consistently surpassed analysts' estimates since inception
• Growing revenues by 65%+ this year, and likely to compound >20%/year over the next 5 years, with further operating leverage expected
• Trading at ~20x my 2025 FCF estimates
• No debt and an increasing cash pile, even while executing buybacks and reinvesting in growth and optimization
• Founder & CEO is the largest shareholder of the company
Dec 6, 2024 • 13 tweets • 14 min read
I recently started researching $REAX, and I must say I find it very interesting.
It's a $1B company disrupting a trillion-dollar industry, yet probably 99% of the FinTwit community doesn’t even know it exists.
Here are the notes from my research so far: 👇🏻🧵1. $REAX is a fast-growing real estate technology company with a disruptive approach to the traditional brokerage industry. Leveraging its proprietary technology platform and agent-centric business model, $REAX is carving out a significant share of a vast and historically established market.
The real estate brokerage industry, with over 90% dominated by traditional brokerages, is undergoing rapid transformation. These incumbents, reliant on office spaces and outdated operational models, face declining market share. $REAX's fully digital and AI-powered model eliminates the need for physical offices, offering agents a flexible, cost-effective alternative that aligns with modern work trends. Despite its impressive growth, $REAX holds less than 2% of the market, highlighting a long runway in a very large industry.
$REAX's performance outpaces market trends significantly. In the 12 months leading up to September 2024, the company grew revenue by 81%, reaching $1.1B, despite a 4% decline in existing home sales market-wide. From Q3 2021 to Q3 2024, $REAX increased its revenue 14-fold while the broader market experienced a 35% decline in transaction volume. This ability to thrive in both strong and weak market conditions underscores the strength of its model.
Dec 1, 2024 • 25 tweets • 19 min read
$HITI, my largest position, has just hit a new 52-week high.
However, I truly believe this is just the beginning.
Here’s everything you need to know about High Tide 👇🏻🧵 1. Background - How $HITI became the leading cannabis retailer in Canada 🥇
The beginning:
Raj Grover, the founder and CEO who owns ~9% of the company, comes from an entrepreneurial family and had already experienced success with several smaller businesses before establishing $HITI. During a business trip to India in search of opportunities in fashion accessories or body jewelry, Raj stumbled upon the potential of cannabis consumption accessories. Recognizing the margin arbitrage opportunity, he shipped $10,000 worth of consumption accessories from New Delhi to Canada and sold everything overnight. After replicating this success a few more times, Raj decided to open a store. This marked the beginning of High Tide's story.
In 2009, Raj opened Smokers’ Corner with an initial investment of less than $50,000 and grew it into a multimillion-dollar empire. At that time, there were only two or three competitors with unappealing stores. Raj believed that by creating a differentiated store in a smart location, he could easily capture market share, and he was right. By leveraging his established roots in Indonesia, Thailand, China, and India, he was able to not only provide a better customer experience but also offer much cheaper products.
Nov 28, 2024 • 13 tweets • 10 min read
Small-cap stocks have been rallying over the past year, with many companies approaching new all-time highs.
However, I believe there are still some interesting opportunities worth considering.
Here are 10 small-caps still far from reaching new highs (no particular order): 👇🏻🧵1. DLocal | $DLO
• Down 84% from its 5-year high
$DLO's mission is to empower global merchants by connecting them with billions of users in emerging markets through a single, direct API payment platform that enables enterprises to process payments, send payouts, and settle funds efficiently.
Merchants using $DLO consistently experience higher acceptance and conversion rates, reduced friction, enhanced fraud prevention, and improved user interactions — all while navigating the complexities of local laws and ever-changing regulations with ease.
Despite recent challenges, including a significant deceleration in revenue growth and declining margins, I believe $DLO is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the fast-growing emerging markets payment sector. Many of its struggles have been either sector-wide or tied to customer concentration, an issue that is steadily improving. As $DLO works to normalize margins and reignite revenue growth, valuation multiples should follow suit. The latest quarter already showed signs of improvement, potentially signaling a bottom for the stock.
A key factor in my confidence is $DLO's new CEO, Pedro Arnt, formerly the CFO of $MELI. His 24-year tenure at $MELI, during which he played a crucial role in scaling the company from its early days to a $100B market cap, speaks volumes about his leadership and strategic expertise. $MELI is one of my favorite companies in terms of corporate culture so I strongly believe Pedro has the vision and capability to drive $DLO's long-term success.
*No position, but considering opening soon.
Nov 24, 2024 • 25 tweets • 28 min read
$RKLB is one of my largest positions.
It's already a 5-bagger for me, but I have no intention of selling or trimming my position anytime soon due to its massive potential.
Few truly understand it, yet many people talk about it.
Here’s $RKLB's investment thesis explained 👇🏻🧵1. Today’s space industry might be comparable to the early days of the internet, standing at a pivotal moment in its evolution, with major developments happening globally each week.
By 2035, the global space economy is projected to hit $1.8T, up from $630B in 2023. 🤯
Key drivers include:
• Growing need for satellite connectivity;
• Increased demand for mobile positioning and navigation services;
• Expanding use of AI and machine learning for insights.
These advancements will help tackle some of the world's biggest challenges, such as climate change, disaster response, global communication gaps, agricultural efficiency, and more.
Companies like $RKLB are at the forefront, offering essential launch services and developing new technologies that promise to advance both space exploration and commercialization.
Nov 18, 2024 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
In two years, $HIMS went from having 14.5% of total subscribers using a personalized product to over 50%.
These offerings not only attract a broader audience but also significantly improve retention rates.
Here's how the company plans to reach over 90% in the short term: 👇🏻🧵1. First, let's understand what it means for a product to be "personalized."
Personalized products at $HIMS are customized health solutions designed to meet the unique needs of each individual. At the core of this is $HIMS' proprietary technology, which includes an advanced electronic medical record (EMR) system that connects providers and patients.
One of the standout innovations is MedMatch, which has been trained with data from millions of customers. By using AI and machine learning to analyze millions of patient interactions, MedMatch helps providers make more informed, data-driven decisions, ensuring that patients are matched with the most effective treatments from the start.
This personalized approach enables $HIMS to offer solutions like personalized dosing, flexible treatment formats, and multi-condition care — ensuring that each treatment is tailored to the patient's specific needs and preferences.
With technology at the core of its offerings, $HIMS is able to deliver more accessible, personalized healthcare solutions that improve outcomes and make care more scalable.
Now, let's delve into the four key elements of $HIMS' strategy to increase the percentage of personalized customers on its platform 👇🏻
Nov 15, 2024 • 12 tweets • 12 min read
$HIMS crashed by over 30% following $AMZN's announcement of expanding its telehealth services to subscription-based options.
Was this justified, or an overreaction?
Will Amazon kill Hims & Hers?
Here’s a thread with some of the key topics to consider when answering this: 👇🏻🧵1. First, it’s important to understand that $AMZN had already announced pay-per-visit telehealth services back in June 2024.
The big recent announcement was the simplification of Amazon’s pricing model, which now includes a membership option, essentially mirroring the subscription-based model that $HIMS offers.
• Comparing Amazon Membership vs. $HIMS Subscription
Amazon Model:
- Prime membership required for eligibility;
- Prescription consultations not included — extra fees apply for messaging or video consultations;
- Lacks engaging educational tools or resources;
- Offers a less customer-centric experience, akin to a typical online purchase.
$HIMS Model:
- No Prime membership required;
- Prescription consultations included in the subscription;
- Provides engaging educational tools to improve patient understanding and engagement;
- A smoother, more user-friendly customer experience tailored to patient needs.
• Price Comparison
Amazon’s monthly prices are competitive, slightly more affordable at first glance. However, they charge additional fees for the initial consultation — $29 for messaging or $49 for a video visit — which are mandatory for a prescription. This makes the upfront cost comparable to or even higher than $HIMS in some cases.
Examples of prices:
Anti-aging skin care: from $10/month (Amazon) vs. from $29/month (HIMS);
Men’s hair loss: from $16/month (Amazon) vs. from $15/month (HIMS);
ED treatment: from $19/month (Amazon) vs. from $44/month (HIMS).
It’s worth noting that comparing prices solely on the lowest tiers isn’t entirely fair. Many customers opt for mid- to higher-tier offerings based on their needs. While Amazon Pharmacy’s offerings have less optionality, $HIMS provides multiple options tailored to different patient preferences, emphasizing personalization and choice.
Ultimately, Amazon’s pay-per-visit model isn’t a significant threat to $HIMS' subscription-based approach. It lacks the built-in continuity, personalization, and customer-centric experience that many patients value. However, the membership model is competitive, but it will likely appeal mainly to highly price-sensitive customers. I’ll dive deeper into $HIMS' key differentiators in the next sections.
Nov 13, 2024 • 25 tweets • 21 min read
I spent a few hours reviewing $RKLB's Q3 results and conference call, but I finally did it.
Here's my extensive Earnings Call summary 👇🏻🧵1. Peter Beck, Founder & CEO of $RKLB, began by grounding the discussion in Rocket Lab’s overarching mission: establishing itself as a comprehensive "end-to-end" space company.
The company’s dual capability — providing both launch services and in-orbit spacecraft production — sets it up to enter and lead a large, diverse market in space applications.
Each successful mission and each new spacecraft is part of Rocket Lab’s vision to hold the "keys to space" through autonomous capabilities in both transport and operational aspects of space infrastructure.
Phase 1 and 2 Progress 👇🏻
$RKLB's Phase 1 and 2 objectives, which center on strengthening rocket and spacecraft technologies, are firmly in place, positioning the company to build its own constellations for high-demand services in space.
Peter Beck highlighted that in Q3, the company took significant steps forward in these areas:
• Neutron Rocket Development: $RKLB signed a multi-launch deal with a commercial constellation operator for its upcoming Neutron rocket. Peter Beck emphasized a selective approach in pursuing Neutron’s commercial contracts to secure high-value partnerships.
• Electron Rocket Successes: On the smaller rocket front, $RKLB successfully launched multiple Electron missions during Q3. Additionally, they secured $55M in new launch contracts, reflecting sustained demand for small launch capabilities and confirming Electron’s strong market position.
• Mars Sample Return Contract: One highlight is $RKLB's selection by NASA to conduct a study for the Mars Sample Return project. This mission, aiming to retrieve samples from Mars, has been deemed costly and time-consuming in its current architecture. NASA sought innovative, cost-effective proposals to expedite the mission, and $RKLB was selected to contribute with a proposal.
• Spacecraft Production Capabilities: $RKLB's Long Beach production line is scaling up to meet demand, producing spacecraft at an accelerated pace to meet a backlog of over 40 spacecraft orders. This capability reflects the company’s objective to rapidly and efficiently manufacture space systems for both external clients and internal projects.
As I already explained, $RKLB's ultimate ambition is to operate its own satellite constellations. The robust foundation the company has built in both launch services and space systems is critical to realizing this goal.
Nov 5, 2024 • 14 tweets • 8 min read
I just read $HIMS' Q3 earnings call transcript and took notes so you don’t have to.
Here’s EVERYTHING you need to know 👇🏻🧵 1. For the first time ever, more than half of $HIMS subscribers are now using a personalized solution.
Andrew Dudum believes there are four main factors driving this increased adoption 👇🏻
• Expanded Specialties: New personalized options are available in areas like weight loss, including tailored dosing for medications such as semaglutide (GLP-1s).
• Multi-Condition Solutions: The platform has also expanded its offerings with compelling treatments that address multiple health concerns, appealing to a broader audience.
• New Form Factors: A wider selection of form factors is available, with more solutions now offered in various forms, including chewable and topical options, and plans to add gummies soon.
• Improved Accessibility: As $HIMS continues to grow, it passes some of its cost efficiencies on to customers through lower price points, enhancing value for consumers.
Together, these developments enable $HIMS to meet a broader range of consumer needs, helping more users stay engaged with their treatments and achieve positive outcomes.