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https://twitter.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/1646638052360572930Solid propellant grain, once cast, is sensitive to humidity/temperature/physical stress (during transport, for instance). That's why large, valuable solid-fuel missiles are canisterized. Over years in storage, solid fuel missiles can degrade. 2/n
https://twitter.com/nktpnd/status/1604600012146704386Beginning in 2009, North Korea began to comply with internationally accepted satellite prenotification practices (ICAO, IMO, etc.). Unclear if that practice will resume for a satellite with an ostensible "military" role. voanews.com/a/a-13-2009-03…
https://twitter.com/GalloVOA/status/1639015698084265986
https://twitter.com/nknewsorg/status/1579218841481408512
https://twitter.com/JPN_PMO/status/1577070110430613504On the ICBM possibility.
https://twitter.com/nktpnd/status/1201982627605073921?t=oRTDZIdluW73Il5Y1vauKg&s=19
https://twitter.com/joshjonsmith/status/1568039955649425408
https://twitter.com/fravel/status/1555181655136112641The “nuclear” DF-15 assessments, as best I know, trace their origins to a 1993 CIA assessment that suggested there could be a nuclear warhead for the system. More recent US intelligence assessments (including NASIC 2021) describe DF-15/CSS-6 as “conventionally-armed.”
https://twitter.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/1540031931173289990I’d expect to see more launches involving the new close-range ballistic missile system designated for a tactical nuclear weapon delivery role. We should also expect to see weapon storage infrastructure established if warheads will be forward-based alongside KPA units.