FINAL UNH poll of NEW HAMPSHIRE

#NHSEN
Hassan (D-Inc): 50%
Bolduc (R): 48%

#NH01
Pappas (D-Inc): 50%
Leavitt (R): 49%

#NH02
Kuster (D-Inc): 53%
Burns (R): 45%

#NHGov
Sununu (R-Inc): 55%
Sherman (D): 43%

State Sen/House/EC
GOP +1/TIED/GOP +1

We are in for a hell of a night. UNH nailed the presidential/senate & NH-01 margins in 2020 in their final poll. Pretty solid.

#NHSen
Hassan (D): 51%
Bolduc (R): 40%

#NHGov
Sununu (R): 52%
Sherman (D): 38%

#NH01
Pappas: 47%
Leavitt: 42%

#NH02
Kuster (D): 54%
Burns (R): 36%

"Well if it isn't the consequences of my own actions" #NHPolitics

https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1570819807322279938

It's by far the least discussed race but Sununu winning by 15% sounds about right.

Less than half of his margin in 2020, but still a big win.

The MAGA sweep in New Hampshire included far-right former Hillsborough Treasurer Bob Burns defeating Sununu-backed Keene Mayor George Hansel in #NH02.

Burns labeled Hansel as "Woke George", racking up margins anywhere where there was a sizable GOP primary voter presence. Hansel really collapsed in the Hillsborough portion of NH-02, which he needed to win. He even lost moderate R towns like Hollis

Former 2016 Libertarian Colorado Senate candidate Lilly Tang Williams, who was endorsed by some "liberty" types greatly outperformed expectations IMO.

NH State Primary Turnout/Party Spread in the past US Senate elections:

2022: 233,061 - 60% R, 40% D
2020: 290,918 - 51% D, 49% R
2014: 158,794 - 75% R, 25% D
2010: 188,706 - 74% R, 26% D
2008: 117,308 - 61% R, 39% R

Only 2010 & 2020 had a competitive GOP primary. #NHPolitics Republican votes cast in Bedford over those years

2022: 4,692 - 68% R, 32% D
2020: 5,657 - 54% R, 46% R
2016: 3,855 - 74% R, 27% D
2014: 3,579 - 88% R, 12% D

2020 was the last time we had competitive D/R primaries statewide. Still, we're not going back to 2014.