Assistant professor of political science at @UCLA (by way of Kansas, @nyuniversity, and @Stanford). I use a computer to learn things about war and diplomacy.
Mar 7, 2022 • 12 tweets • 2 min read
I'm gratified that my article, "Painful Words: The Effect of Battlefield Activity on Conflict Negotiation Behavior," is now published online at the Journal of Conflict Resolution.
I'll summarize the main ideas in this thread.
The article is about how actors adjust their negotiation strategies in response to information culled from recent fighting. While some scholars have noted that negotiations embody a distinct step on the path to peace, we know little about what happens during this step.
Nov 13, 2018 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
I am elated to say that my #APSR article with Azusa Katagiri is now available online! In it, we digitize 18,000 declassified documents from the Berlin Crisis of 1958-63 to test the relative credibility of public and private diplomatic signals.
dx.doi.org/10.1017/S00030…
We argue that in the real-world diplomatic environment, seemingly costly public signals are very noisy, making them easy to misinterpret or not perceive at all. Meanwhile, ostensibly costless private statements are rarer, direct, and focused, making them easier to perceive.
