Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Ben Tribbett Profile picture
Ben Tribbett
@notlarrysabato
President at Pocket Aces Consulting (@ConsultingAces), political commentator and Pie Eating Champion. https://t.co/CtHAPY5KWe
Nov 1, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Here for last TMac rally of election. Crazy set up with electeds off near the bus *behind* the stage away from reporters. I think the campaign sort of misses the point of a final rally for cameras pre Election Day… That’s the crowd *behind* the stage. All while the cameras in the back are picking up empty space. Wild.
Jul 6, 2021 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
This weekend I put out my first ratings for the Virginia House in 2021 going seat by seat. Overall the seats break out as follows

34- Safe Dem
7- Likely Dem
7- Leans Dem
3- Slight Lean D
5- Toss Up
1- Slight Lean GOP
1- Leans GOP
3- Likely GOP
39- Safe GOP Even with a Dem majority the (mostly) GOP drawn maps, give Republicans a 39-34 advantage in safe seats and a 42-41 edge in the likely or better seats. But strong Dem incumbents tip the balance to a 48-43 Dem advantage when you factor in seats leaning or better.
Nov 2, 2020 • 21 tweets • 6 min read
ELECTION NIGHT PREVIEW THREAD. It's 6:45 on the east coast. Polls have not closed entirely in any state but partially in KY and IN. Trump has an early lead in both states but neither was called at poll closing as the networks are all being very careful this year.
Nov 1, 2020 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Everyone needs to breathe about election night. Biden will have it won by 10 pm, and called by midnight. Here’s how the night will play out (eastern time). Polls will close in parts of KY and IN at 6. By 630 we will see Trump’s numbers down from 2016 in most areas. IN won’t flip but will start to tell us what’s happening in region.
Jun 21, 2020 • 32 tweets • 7 min read
This weekend was the @vademocrats convention and I am sad to report that it was marred with voting fraud that should invalidate all of the elections held. (Thread) Contested elections at this convention were held for members of the DNC for the next four years as well as the 2 at large members of the electoral college for Virginia should Joe Biden carry VA in November.
Mar 19, 2020 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
So to recap this has been Fairfax County's response to Coronavirus. (thread) Thursday: Hold Press Conference where @JeffreyCMcKay staffer @tlholland1 threatened a member of the School Board for not standing on stage behind Jeff as he said everything would remain open.
Jan 19, 2020 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Very concerned about what is going on in Richmond tomorrow. The Gov has declared *mandatory* telework for everyone in executive branch, and barred his employes from going to General Assembly because of the danger. Yet the legislative leadership is refusing to cancel committee meetings against the advice they are getting from public safety officials. It's a bravado move that endangers the janitors, food service workers, and other state employees who have to be there when leg is meeting.
Nov 5, 2019 • 28 tweets • 7 min read
24 hours to go- time for final predictions. Thread below. The VA Senate starts out at 21R and 19D. Lt Gov (D) breaks ties so Ds only need 1 seat to take control.
Oct 18, 2018 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
This is a real radio ad currently running in Arkansas in support of Republican Congressman French Hill on radio stations targeted to the African American community. I don't even have words to describe it. It's hard to piss off every single constituency in the Democratic Party at once, but this ad might have done it.