Schmidt Science Fellow at @LSHTM and @Imperial_IDE researching malaria, COVID-19 and mortality. Organiser of Central London Data Science meet ups.
Oct 14, 2021 • 36 tweets • 11 min read
Our analysis on how official COVID-19 mortality has hindered our understanding of the COVID-19 pandemic globally, what novel approaches have been taken rapidly to fill the data gap and what long term solutions are required. A thread on the story behind this piece:
Firstly, we wrote this article in October 2020 - 1 year ago almost to the day. No journals wanted it at the time - it never even went out to review. They weren’t interested in unreported COVID-19 deaths. They weren't interested in COVID-19 in lower income countries.
Apr 23, 2021 • 22 tweets • 7 min read
Our report on the largely unobserved COVID-19 epidemic in Damasucs was just published in @natcomms.
I don't like sharing my publications but this one I a really proud of. Why? Well over a year has passed and it still is shocking how much mortality has been missed. A Thread
Our report investigating the under-reporting of COVID-19 deaths in Damascus, Syria was released this morning. This analysis has changed how I view the extent to which COVID-19 has potentially spread unobserved in many parts of the world. 1/n
1. Best estimate is that 1 in 80 deaths due to COVID-19 have been reported as of 2nd September, suggesting that as many as 4,380 deaths may have been missed. 2. Epidemic in Damascus significantly more advanced than reported deaths would suggest 2/n
Mar 22, 2020 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
In light of @MRC_Outbreak report on US and UK #COVIDー19 epidemics, better tools for containment are needed to prevent additional waves. As @trvrb and others note, a technological solution should be developed. Singapore govt has just launched the Trace Together app. 1/n
tracetogether.gov.sg is a phone app for contact tracing, which will speed up how quickly the govt can identify potential transmission events and alert potentially infected individuals. 2/n
