Here's the deal about this much hyped Saturday's "Justice for January 6" rally.
Users on the extremist forums that hyped the rally-turned-riot on January 6 are not so hot on this one.
They're telling each other not to go, fearing it's a honeypot from the feds.
In the days before January 6th, sites like TheDonald and 4chan were littered with pictures of people boarding planes, posting pictures of guns, their hotel rooms, even maps of the tunnels beneath the Capitol.
They're calling 9/18 an "FBI rally." You mostly see posts like this:
Pro-Trump extremist boards have basically conspiracy theory'd themselves into inactivity.
Everything is "glowing," their word for a setup. Everything's a "false flag" or "honeypot."
They realize now their own rhetoric has put them in a bit of a bind.
Can't stress how wild the ivermectin Facebook groups have become. So many people insisting to each other to never go to an ER, in part because they might not get ivermectin, but sometimes because they fear nurses are killing them on purpose "for the insurance money."
The ivermectin Facebook groups are becoming fully anti-western medicine spaces, replete with the concept that ERs are killing you, maybe intentionally.
It's just a constant stream of DIY vitamin therapies and new, seemingly random antiviral drugs every day — but not the vaccine.
The ivermectin Facebook groups also offer a window into how pervasive antivaxx COVID "treatment" videos are on TikTok.
The groups serve as a de facto aggregator for antivaxx TikTok, a space that is enormous but inherently unquantifiable to researchers.
The suspect in today’s standoff rattled off a bunch of conspiracies on Facebook Live on his way to DC. Election fraud, Trump reinstatement, weird stuff about coins.
One, though, seemed personal.
Afghan refugees would get free healthcare, he said, and he doesn't.
Ray Roseberry, the suspect in the DC standoff, said he went to get stem cell treatment this week, but couldn’t. His insurance didn’t cover it.
He said his wife had cancer that needed surgery. Her insurance didn’t cover it.
Then he blamed refugees and immigrants.
On his way to the standoff, Roseberry complained about letting in immigrants from Mexico and Afghanistan. He said that there wasn’t free healthcare “for us,” but falsely claimed the undocumented would get what he couldn’t for free.
One 40k-member antivaxx group is also bragging about getting around Facebook’s moderation bots by just swapping out language and calling it a “Dance Party” after the White House press conference last week.
Update from Scott: Scott is claiming Scott is AI-generated, and therefore Scott is not Scott and Jorg is not Jorg. There is no Scott or Jorg, just a robot posing as Scott, and another robot who stole robot Scott's identity to pose as Jorg.
BTW, when he says "AI generated," he means his face, not his words. Scott/Jorg's face was pretty clearly made using thispersondoesnotexist.com.
This is how the Martin Aspen fake identity was created. Extremely easy thing to do.
A lot of people are asking me about QAnon and extremist-related threats tomorrow.
Nobody knows what will happen, but here's what we do know: There is considerably less public organization and open threats on the Capitol than there was in the run-up to 1/6. It's not comparable.
This is the kind of thing that was at the top of pro-Trump forums on 1/5. They were openly advocating for Civil War. QAnon people were talking about a hostile takeover because they thought they were the first step of a military coup that'd eventually be abetted by the military.
QAnon people, especially ones who were just in it to watch the season finale of their little story, do not want to be mixed up with something they now know could lead to direct violence.
So they're claiming talk of an attack on 3/4 is a false flag. They're pushing the date back.
Over the last few years, I kept in touch with some QAnon supporters through DMs, checking in on them to see if they'd ever come out of it when their next doomsday came and went.
They'd typically first message me calling me a Satanic pedophile. I'd ignore it and ask questions.
Usually they would draw hard lines. A big one was D5, which everyone thought would be mass arrests on December 5th two years ago. Didn't happen, didn't matter.
It's about belief, anticipation, an advent calendar. One day soon, their problems would be fixed.
I would check in the week after the failed doomsdays. They'd point to a Q post like scripture, and say some ridiculous event proved it was still happening. An earthquake somewhere, a service interruption on GMail.
I learned something: these people don't want to be humiliated.