Szabolcs Panyi Profile picture
Central Europe investigative editor @VSquare_Project | journalist @direkt36 I 'Goulash' newsletter: https://t.co/xiy7Dmj5EM I szabolcs.panyi@vsquare.org
Dame Chris🌟🇺🇦😷 #RejoinEU #FBPE #GTTO🔶️ Profile picture Jeffrey Wood Profile picture Gabor Karacsonyi 🇪🇺🇺🇦 Profile picture zypic Profile picture Davide Letterman Profile picture 6 subscribed
Feb 20, 2023 7 tweets 6 min read
SCOOP #RussiaBelarusLeak: We obtained a secret internal Kremlin document, ‘Strategic goals of the Russian Federation in the Belarusian direction’.

It’s a roadmap of how Russia will absorb Belarus by 2030.

With @agielewska for @VSquare_Project.🧵THREAD
vsquare.org/secret-kremlin… 2/ The more than dozen-page document was presented in the fall of 2021 to Dimitry Kozak, deputy head of Putin’s administration.

It was created by the Directorate for Cross-Border Cooperation, headed by Alexei Filatov, with inputs from all intelligence agencies (GRU, SVR & FSB).
Jan 28, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
Who is the mystery man?

This week, political junkies in Hungary were mostly chatting about the curious case of prosecutors destroying some 'kompromat' found in an unrelated corruption scandal - a photo of a threesome involving a public figure. THREAD.👇
telex.hu/belfold/2023/0… 2/ In 2021, authorities found the kompromat while searching the home of a corrupt government official who regularly bribed Minister of Justice @JuditVarga_EU's deputy. Besides cash, they also found this photo of a threesome, printed chat logs and two DVDs. hungarytoday.hu/former-state-s…
Jan 20, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
1/ More than 170 Hungarian generals and senior military officers have been forced into early retirement in recent days by Hungary's MoD, led by Kristóf Szalay-Bobrovniczky. He is a former business partner of Transmashholding, a Russian state-owned company.
telex.hu/belfold/2023/0… 2/ A new government decree has allowed the Minister of Defense to unilaterally terminate the service of soldiers who have reached the age of 45 and have at least 25 years of actual service, with two months' notice. telex.hu/belfold/2023/0…
Oct 3, 2022 8 tweets 3 min read
Breaking: Viktor Orbán's MPs voted NO on the opposition's proposal to hold a parliamentary vote on the 🇫🇮&🇸🇪 NATO accession tomorrow. Opposition parties are losing their patience as Hungary & Turkey are the last NATO members not to ratify the enlargement.
nepszava.hu/3171195_nato-s… 2/ Orbán has already signaled his reluctance this summer, when he said that Hungary pays special attention to Turkey's reservations.

Orbán is close to Erdogan, so that's an explanation. However, he seems to be close to Putin too - and that's another one.
Sep 27, 2022 12 tweets 4 min read
Former Hungarian MEP found guilty of espionage, sentenced to 5 years in prison: euobserver.com/tickers/156154

Béla Kovács (nickname 'KGBéla') was outed as a Russian spy in 2014 already.

Hungarian authorities left him off the hook - he's been living in Moscow for years.

THREAD👇 2/ Béla Kovács is your most average looking politician, yet he has an extraordinary secret life. Like, for example, he married a Russian lady who already had at least two other husbands at the same time - including a Japanese nuclear scientist. Background:
index.hu/english/2014/0…
Aug 23, 2022 8 tweets 2 min read
There’s an important national security angle to Orbán’s purchase of mobile carrier Vodafone Hungary, the frontrunner in 5G network development in the country:

Vodafone’s networks are running on Chinese Huawei equipment.

Why is this an issue? Thread🧵
reuters.com/markets/deals/… 2/ Vodafone, a 🇬🇧 company, has been deploying Chinese network equipment everywhere, not just in Hungary. However, national security risks associated with 🇨🇳 companies’ 5G technology resulted in a pressure campaign both from the 🇺🇸&🇬🇧governments.
Jul 27, 2022 9 tweets 3 min read
In his controversial speech, Orbán also said that "the statement that Russia will not stop at Ukraine is a weak propaganda talking point used by Ukraine. (...)It lacks any basis in reality." I'm curious how Poland's gov't feels about this. Some questions should be asked. THREAD👇 Image 2/ First of all, does Poland sincerely think that they're more important to Orbán than Russia? Another quote from his speech: "...post-Westerners did their best to dismantle the Visegrád Four. In addition, war has intervened, and this has shaken the Polish-Hungarian cooperation."
Jul 20, 2022 12 tweets 4 min read
Rule of law in Hungary: I have been investigated by our data protection authority because of my reporting on #Pegasus surveillances and after a complaint by an intelligence officer who was likely the spyware's operator. Story & documents (in 🇭🇺): media1.hu/2022/07/20/viz…

Thread👇 2/ As part of our #Pegasus surveillance investigations at @direkt36, I wrote a story on probably the most unlikely target: an intelligence officer at the Special Service for National Security (SSNS), which conducts secret surveillance and interceptions. direkt36.hu/en/kemszoftver…
Jul 15, 2022 9 tweets 3 min read
NEW: During the US presidential election in 2016, Russian hackers used a Hungarian gov't computer to disguise international data traffic needed for attacks against the US. Then it all happened again in 2020.

Orbán's reaction? 🤷‍♂️.

My new @direkt36 story: direkt36.hu/en/nyugati-szo… 2/ This was our original story uncovering the Russian hackings of the Hungarian foreign ministry's IT networks. At the time, the government called my reporting a 'campaign lie'. A few days later, both PM Orbán & his MFA acknowledged the Russian hacking.🤷‍♂️
May 4, 2022 18 tweets 6 min read
Worrying rumours circulate as Viktor Orbán is assembling his next government, which could be his most pro-Kremlin ever with multiple ministers having close Russian ties. Hungary's foreign policy, military, national security & cyber defense apparatus could all be affected. Thread. Image 2/ First, I want to emphasize that these are rumours and information originating from sources not in the PM's inner circle, but from the apparatus itself that could be affected. Some of these information are pretty new, others are floating around for quite some time now.
Apr 19, 2022 14 tweets 6 min read
🇪🇺Today, the European Parliament's #Pegasus inquiry committee will start its work.

9 months ago, #PegasusProject - a consortium of journalists led by @FbdnStories - uncovered systematic abuses with NSO Group's Pegasus spyware. One of these abusers was Orbán's Hungary.

🧵Thread 2/ Hungary was the first EU member state where we found that multiple journalists and media company owners were surveilled with the Israeli spyware. Orbán's gov't neither confirmed nor denied anything. Here's our in-depth @direkt36 article with @andraspe: direkt36.hu/en/leleplezodo…
Apr 4, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
📊Analyses of Hungary’s election find that far-right opposition voters previously supporting Jobbik were unwilling to back the six-party opposition’s United for Hungary coalition. Instead, 2/3 of them either voted for Orbán’s populist Fidesz or the neo-fascist Our Homeland party. ImageImage 2/ Jobbik, Hungary’s former strongest opposition party tried to transform itself from far-right into moderate right. They allied themselves with left-wing & liberal forces but lost most voters along the way. 800K opposition voters swinged to Orbán & Jobbik offshoot Our Homeland.
Mar 31, 2022 7 tweets 4 min read
‼️👀Bags of partly burnt mail ballots for the Hungarian election were found in Romania near a motorway on Wednesday. Some ballots show support for the opposition.

Orbán granted voting rights to the neighbouring Hungarian diaspora. They can vote by mail.
telex.hu/kozelet/2022/0… 2/ There's also video footage by local journalist Cristian Teodorescu working for pontmaros/punctul. He was notified by a reader that there are bags of filled Hungarian ballots half-burnt at a landfill near Marosvásárhely/Târgu Mureș, Romania:
Mar 30, 2022 14 tweets 5 min read
‼️🇷🇺Hungary’s latest Russia scandal: @direkt36 reveals that Orbán’s foreign ministry has been compromised by an ongoing Russian cyberespionage campaign. They even hacked the encrypted channel also transmitting confidential NATO & EU material.

👇THREAD.👇
direkt36.hu/en/putyin-hekk… 2/ When MFA Péter Szijjártó received the Order of Friendship from Sergey Lavrov - awarded by Putin himself - he already knew well that his ministry has been completely hacked by Russia.

He didn’t confront the Russians but praised Moscow and their great cooperation with Hungary.
Mar 28, 2022 13 tweets 5 min read
🇭🇺🗳️What to expect from Hungary's April 3 elections?

According to a senior opposition leader, the playing field is so uneven that the six-party opposition coalition United for Hungary (EM) would need a +3-4% win over Fidesz to have simple majority. That's impossible.

THREAD🧵 2/ My source who is familiar with current internal pollings expects something like 105 seats for Fidesz & 94 for the opposition (our parliament has 199 seats in total, 100 needed for majority). Source added that it's an optimistic guess and many would actually be happy with that.
Mar 21, 2022 7 tweets 3 min read
❌🇷🇺Wow: Hungary would veto EU sanctions against Russian gas transfers, a no-fly zone over Ukraine, and even an EU peacekeeping mission.

Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó - a receipient of the Order of Friendship, one of the Kremlin's highest honours - called these a "red line". 😬Orbán's foreign minister: “An agreement regarding possible EU sanctions against Russian energy supplies or their interruption will most likely not be reached (...) We will not support sanctions that could pose a risk to energy supplies for Hungary.”
hungarytoday.hu/foreign-minist…
Mar 3, 2022 16 tweets 7 min read
👀At @direkt36, we've investigated Viktor Orbán's shady deals with Putin's circles and found tons of worrying examples when Hungarian government decisions clearly benefited the Kremlin - even at the expense of Hungarian & EU/NATO interests.

🧵Thread👇
direkt36.hu/en/kemek-bizni… 2/ In 2010, Orbán's closest allies travelled to Moscow to pay an “introductory visit” at the FSB's HQ. Russian counterparts told that if Orbán's people need assistance in business matters, they can be “counted on” (reporting by @andraspe & @AndrasSzab). direkt36.hu/en/orban-jatsz…
Jun 1, 2021 9 tweets 4 min read
Road of Uyghur martyrs
Free Hongkong Road
Dalai Lama Road
Bishop Xie Shiguang Road

- Opposition-led Budapest shows the middle finger by renaming streets around the area where PM Orbán’s gov't is building a campus for China’s Fudan University. telex.hu/belfold/2021/0…

THREAD👇 2/ Back in April, I broke the story on 🇭🇺 government plans of a €1.5 billion construction of Shanghai-based Fudan University’s Budapest campus.

Usual Belt and Road conditions apply: expenses are paid by Hungarian taxpayers, 80% covered by a 🇨🇳 loan. direkt36.hu/en/kinai-hitel…
Apr 18, 2021 8 tweets 4 min read
1/ While many countries show solidarity with Czechia & condemn Russia for the GRU operation killing two people in Vrbětice in 2014, don’t expect similar gestures from the pro-Kremlin Orbán government.

Here’s what Hungary did after the Skripal poisoning:
direkt36.hu/en/latszolag-o… 2/ Hungary never makes public its expulsion of Russian spies, we do so-called “silent expulsions” to mitigate any conflict with Moscow. This is the result of Orbán’s balancing act between Hungary’s NATO responsibilities and his pro-Kremlin foreign policy.

direkt36.hu/en/orosz-diplo…
Mar 22, 2021 21 tweets 8 min read
The personal story of Michael Kovrig, who just stood trial in Beijing, is just extraordinary.

Michael was imprisoned by China’s communist regime in December 2018.

His grandfather, János Kovrig was arrested and sent to labour camp during Hungary’s communist takeover.

THREAD 2/ Today, Kovrig stood trial in China after 2 years in detention. The Canadian ex-diplomat who works for @CrisisGroup is widely seen as a victim of hostage diplomacy - his arrest in Beijing came days after Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou was detained in Canada.
bbc.com/news/world-asi…
Dec 9, 2020 13 tweets 6 min read
Why is Germany brokering an EU budget deal that lets Hungary off the hook & makes virtually impossible to sanction Orban’s rule of law breaches?

German companies were actually instrumental in building Orban's system from which they benefit hugely. THREAD direkt36.hu/en/a-magyar-ne… 2/ I published my in-depth reporting on Germany's automotive industry and Hungary a few months ago.

One main takeaway is that “executives of several German carmakers (...) absolutely feel that the Hungarian government is in their pockets”, a German business source told.