Globally ranked top 20 PvP forecaster π―
AI is getting powerful. Society isnβt prepared. Working at @IAPSai to shape AI for prosperity and human freedom.
Mar 29 β’ 6 tweets β’ 2 min read
This WSJ article, if true, has some real bombshells about @OpenAI and @sama π£βΌοΈ
It is alleged that Sam Altman clearly lied multiple times to a variety of people
Such as Altman lying to the board about which components of GPT-4 had been safety tested
Altman also lied to then CTO Mutari about whether GPT-4 needed safety testing
May 16, 2024 β’ 29 tweets β’ 11 min read
After a long wait, the Schumer-Rounds-Heinrich-Young bipartisan AI working group report is here.
Here are my highlights and thoughts: π§΅
The plan is following up on the Insight Forums to identify questions and break things into parts..
Under this roadmap, there won't be an AI mega-bill, but many parts moving independently.
Mar 8, 2021 β’ 7 tweets β’ 5 min read
@FiveThirtyEight pollster grades are not particularly predictive of poll quality
I recently looked at a much larger database of polls than I think others have looked at and I have fully replicated the finding of @kwcollins and @TadeuszMrozek2
THREAD 1/6
I looked at polls conducted within 30 days of the election and evaluated them by the difference between polled D vs. R margin and the actual D vs. R margin (lower is better).
For 2016 POTUS the grades work, but presumably because the grades were made to fit this data.