Leading National Political Polling Company (Tweets by Tom Jensen)
Dec 22, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Fresh new Arizona numbers! In a three way race Kyrsten Sinema would get just 13% to 41% for Kari Lake and 40% for Ruben Gallego: mailchi.mp/802647d37bde/n…
Gallego’s net favorability rating is 24 points better than Sinema’s. He’s at +8 (35/27), she’s at -16 (31/47): mailchi.mp/802647d37bde/n…
Oct 29, 2020 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Our new GA poll finds Jon Ossoff leading David Perdue 47-44, with Libertarian Shane Hazel at 3. Ossoff was up 44-43 on our previous poll.
Since then Perdue's approval has dropped from 41/46 to 39/49 in the wake of his racist comments about Kamala Harris:
Our new North Carolina Senate poll finds Cal Cunningham ahead 47-39 and really shows Thom Tillis' base trouble: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/tillis-s…
Cunningham's net favorability (+15 at 35/20) is 31 points better than Tillis' (-16 at 28/44).
The big problem for Tillis is that he's at only 49% fav even w/ Trump voters.
Our new Alaska poll, (client: Election Twitter), finds the Presidential race in the state is likely to be the closest it's been since the 60s. Donald Trump leads Joe Biden just 48-45: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/close-ra…
Trump has a 46/49 approval rating in Alaska. Biden actually leads by double digits with independents, 52-39: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/close-ra…
May 20, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Our new Kentucky poll finds Mitch McConnell has a 41% approval rating, with 48% disapproving. Only 69% of Republicans think he's doing a nice job, and he's under water with independents at 30/53: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/mcconnel…
McConnell only leads a generic Democratic opponent 47-44, even as Donald Trump has a 55-39 lead in the state over Joe Biden: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/mcconnel…
Apr 1, 2020 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
Our new Pennsylvania poll finds Donald Trump under water in the state for his handling of the coronavirus, at 46/49. Meanwhile Tom Wolf is at 62/20 for his handling of it: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/pennsylv…
Trump has a 45/51 overall approval rating in the state. Wolf's is 54/24.
Our new poll with @ProtectOurCare finds that voters are very concerned with the virus despite Trump’s flippancy and that it’s hurting his political standing: protectourcare.org/wp-content/upl…
72% are concerned about the effect of the virus on the economy, including 36% ‘very concerned’
57% are concerned about themselves or someone in their family getting sick, including 24% ‘very concerned’
Poll was done mostly Monday, that would likely be higher now
Mar 5, 2020 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
Our new polls in Maine and Arizona find Sara Gideon leading Susan Collins 47-43 and Mark Kelly leading Martha McSally 47-42.
That now means our most recent polls in 4 GOP held Senate seats have found at least a 4 point Democratic lead:
publicpolicypolling.com/polls/democrat…
We also had a private poll last week that found Cal Cunningham leading Thom Tillis 46-41, and our most recent Colorado poll found John Hickenlooper leading Cory Gardner 51-38:
We did some general election polling in Arizona and Iowa and found that the only thing keeping Trump from being in terrible shape is disunity among the voters who don't like him: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/democrat…
In AZ Trump is tied with Biden, up 1 on Sanders, 2 on Warren, and 3 on Buttigieg. Not great numbers in a state he won by 4. But when you look at undecideds in each match more than 80% disapprove of Trump, and they voted for Clinton by at least 45 points: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/democrat…
Oct 9, 2019 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
Our new poll in North Carolina- a state Trump won by 4 points- finds that there are more voters who want to impeach him (48%) than there are who approve of him (46%):
Only 7% of voters who disapprove of Trump are opposed to impeachment. Disapproval and support for impeachment are coming closer and closer to one and the same:
The Midwest gets most of the attention but there's a real path to Democratic victory in the South next year too. We find Donald Trump trails a generic Democrat 50-46 in Georgia and 49-44 in North Carolina. Last month we found him down 51-44 in Florida:
New polling in key 2020 Senate states we did with @MoveOn finds voters want Congress to re-open the government without funding for the wall, and that Senators are making a political mistake aligning themselves with Trump on this
In Colorado, 58% of voters want Congress to re-open government without funding for the wall, to 37% opposed.
Cory Gardner has a 30/47 approval rating, more evidence that he's extremely vulnerable next year:
Our first North Carolina poll of the 2020 cycle finds the state is likely to be a key battleground once again. Donald Trump won the state by 4, but now only 46% of voters approve of him to 50% who disapprove: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/north-ca…
Trump polls at 44-46% in North Carolina regardless of which of 6 Democrats he's tested against. The Democrats get anywhere from 45-49%, running largely in line with their name recognition: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/north-ca…
Nov 7, 2018 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Our election day survey in GOP held battlegrounds for @protectourcare found 63% of voters said health care was either the most important issue (21%) or a very important issue (42%) to their votes: protectourcare.org/ppp-exit-polli…
In the 75 GOP held battlegrounds we tested, voters trusted Democrats over Republicans and President Trump on health care 52-44, including 57-35 with independents: protectourcare.org/ppp-exit-polli…
Jun 13, 2018 • 24 tweets • 8 min read
Our new national poll covers Tax Reform, the generic ballot, Spygate, Sessions and Pruitt, self pardoning, the Trump administration's feud with the media, feelings toward Canada, Laurel and Yanny, and who people think the GOAT is: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/tax-refo…
Tax Reform still not doing much to help the GOP. Only 31% of voters support it, 38% opposed. Slightly more voters (33%) think it will hurt than (30%) help their family's finances, 25% don't think it will make a difference: publicpolicypolling.com/polls/tax-refo…
May 22, 2018 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
In line with polling released earlier this year by Gallup we find Americans wary of driverless cars: news.gallup.com/poll/228032/am…'
Our polls for @ConsumerWD find that 79% of voters in CA, FL, MI, and SD say they’re either very concerned or somewhat concerned for their safety on the road if driverless cars were operating in their area: consumerwatchdog.org/sites/default/…
May 9, 2018 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Worth noting besides Pittenger losing in NC-9...there were 10,000 more Democratic than Republican votes in the primary, another marker of Democratic enthusiasm
2 weeks ago we found that Republicans only had a 46-44 generic ballot lead in that district. Looking like an even better Democratic opportunity now without having to run against an incumbent, and with primary vote turnout confirming a Democratic edge in engagement this year
