My dream job!

Lessons Learnt Analyst for @didoharding.

Let's see what we learnt from the disaster of government responses to the epidemic.

Due to the very many lessons learnt it is a rather lengthy thread - (1/20)

huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/test-and… Here is my job application - analysing the Response to Covid-19 by the government.

(A Public Enquiry will tell you the same in a few years time at a cost of many millions )

2/20

Since October we have had three months of lockdown.

November, January, February

The second wave will cause about 80,000 deaths, on top of 60,000 deaths till the summer.

Could we have avoided all these deaths? Yes, very easily.

1/ Had the lockdowns been enacted earlier, the same time spent in lockdown (3 months) would have avoided almost all the deaths.

We needed to go into the first lockdown in October, the second in December, and the third in February.

Lockdown: red line, opening up: light green

2/

Ok, we got the roadmap.

But how do we get there quicker?

There is only two ways.

1. Vaccinate quicker
2. Bring down the R number

1/9 Vaccinate quicker?

I think we go as fast as we can.

Bring down R quicker?

That would mean harsher lockdown:

Absolutely no one out unless they work in health, food, and essential services. Everybody else stays in for a month.

It would make R fall to 0.3 from 0.9 now.

2/9

A quick thread on Libra, the new "currency" proposed by Facebook

Market Cap of Competitors ($ bn)

Visa 359
Mastercard 266
Paypal 137

Libra 0

Facebook itself has market cap of 549, but would like some piece of payment system action. Now the dodgy bit.
Market cap of "crypto" nonsense competitors

Bitcoin 201
Ethereum 33
others about 150

Libra 0

Facebook hopes that its currency will also go into the stratosphere from 0, based on computer bits, blockchain and bullshit, when people invest in it.