I suspect there are quite a bit of Democratic votes left in @RubenGallego 's CD 3, which will Net statewide Democrats about 20-25K votes. Whatever Margins the GOP can conjure up with rest, probably will get very watered down just with this CD remains The margins whatever GOP conjures up will likely come from Andy Biggs' CD5. So essentially those 2 will cancel themselves out. maybe CD3 even produces net gain of a couple of 1000 over 5 for the Dems!