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Ryan for the people Profile picture
Ryan for the people
@rbkeeney
Data scientist working with R, Python, SQL, Shiny M.S. in Analytics, Georgia Tech '22 B.S. in Mech. Eng., Univ. of Mich. '14 FF Astronauts He/Ēl
Jun 4, 2020 • 16 tweets • 4 min read
How should you use breakout age in your rookie WR analysis?

A thread on when it matters and... when it doesn't. Breakout age can be challenging to evaluate at times. First, there are two primary methods: 20%, and 30% - which is better?

Second, both of these methods also leave us with some interesting questions such as: How different is 18 vs. 20 vs. no breakout age?
May 13, 2020 • 27 tweets • 10 min read
"He came into the league too soon"

That's something @noahmoreparties mentioned the other day when we were chatting about Gio Bernard. It's true for lots of players: Jahvid Best, Harvin, etc.

That got me to thinking: How are running back prospects changing over time? Image And, spurred on by a simple question, your humble analyst sets off on a (partially and poorly animated) adventure...
May 5, 2020 • 14 tweets • 3 min read
Swift was looking like the consensus 2020 1.01 in rookie drafts heading into the 2019 college season.

Now? He's slipped to 1.03 in DLF's rookie ADP and is down to 40 in FFPC start-up ADP.

Let's take a closer look.

1/ Taking a quick look at our model - Swift isn't projected to be a breakout. Surprising, considering his pedigree.

Final rating? 44.

2/