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https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1647614745627836416Jaishankar's response: (1) India-China border issue long predates Ukraine invasion. (2) Europe has been silent on many issues re:Asia. (3) India can deal with China with or without global support. (4) support for India v China will not be predicated on India's position on Russia.
In it, I expand the chronological & analytical frames we use on rising powers, which are typically studied as rising *great* powers on the verge of causing trouble with established great powers. Unsurprisingly, most research on power shifts focuses on conflict as primary outcome.
https://twitter.com/PaliwalAvi/status/1497701979363155975India's dependence on Russian arms itself has been declining since 2012 and will accelerate if current sanctions stay for long, damaging Russian manufacturing. But I'd wager that India's vote would not have been different even at low import levels. 2/