FX quant macro/Python/burgers. Co-founder: @turnleafan forecasting inflation with ML. Founder: @cuemacro. Books: Trading Thalesians, Book of Alternative Data.
Dec 3, 2022 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
Great thread on backtesting errors in assets with a large number of names (eg. look ahead bias in picking your universe), inspired, I'll write about a few problems you can encounter with economic data backtesting 1/n
This thread is mostly inspired by the work we've been doing @turnleafan forecasting inflation with machine learning & alt data, which requires large amounts of data (including economic data) as an input.. & many months of cleaning/preprocessing it :-) 2/n
Oct 12, 2021 • 9 tweets • 6 min read
There've been lots of great threads on vol trading recently on fintwit from the likes of @VolQuant, @bennpeifert & many more! I thought I'd give it a go explaining how to backtest FX options + include Python code samples! 1/n@VolQuant@bennpeifert Before you get into creating a trading signal, need to create a total returns time series for your option instrument of choice. Say you enter a long 1m EURUSD ATM straddle, need to mark it at entry 2/n
Jul 29, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
a quick thread on EURUSD, given rally & dollar demise stuff (!), here's number of articles on dollar demise vs. spot.. historically peak together!
from a historical perspective on PPP (CPI) spot is at fair value (undervalued on PPI though).. nowhere near all time high too
May 20, 2020 • 8 tweets • 1 min read
Been writing Jupyter notebooks for a Python, alt data/NLP + large datasets course. As a result been using many libraries for large datasets.. here are a few takeaways on large datasets in Python 1/8
If you've got a small time series dataset, Pandas is often easiest choice, but what if it doesn't fit in memory? Can batch calculations, but what about libraries who do this for you! 2/8