Team of Psephologists led by a Kerala Born MH settled indv.
19 long years of exp in Mkt Research/Election Surveys. Unbiased@work. Swayam Sevaks, Pro Modi
BJP- 176-194
TMC-87-101
GRAND ALLIANCE- 11-15
ASSAM- 126 SEATS
NDA- 73-83
UPA- 43-51
OTH-0-2
Dec 7, 2020 • 17 tweets • 3 min read
Major Take Aways of 1st Phase of Kerala Local Body Election in a thread (Priority to BJP led NDA)
1. NDA is doing very well in the last leg of campaign in TVM Corporation
2. In a close fight NDA might become the SLP(Polling percentage is decisive)
3. UDF is giving unexpected fight in some wards in TVM corporation which may cause LDF heavy. Similarly in some sitting seats, BJP is feeling the heat. Even their star candidate V.V.Rajesh is struggling, yet he might make it
Dec 7, 2020 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
A Thread on Kerala Local Body Election-
5 Districts (Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha and Idukki) will go for polls tmrw. Remaining districts will go to booths on 10th & 14th respectively.
2) Elections will be taking place in 941 Grama Panchayats, 152 Block panchayats, 14 district panchayats, 86 Municipalities and 6 Corporations.
A total of 1199 local bodies will go to booth in 3 phases. Result is on 16th, Dec
As expected TRS swept the municipal poll. But, the most interesting part was the upsurge of BJP to the second position in municipal corporations (in terms of wards won)... Congress pushed to third position here.
BJP couldn't win as many municipalities as we expected. But, they yet performed well in some unexpected areas,while underperformed in expected areas.They won 3 municipalities&approx 235 wards(placed third after TRS and INC)
As per our team's assessment, TRS is going to perform really well once again in the state and expected to bag 72-78 Municipalities
INC can win 18-24, while BJP, fought it alone, is in place to win 7-13 Municipalities and a corporation.
#Continuation 1
BJP could have performed more than this figure,but lack of cadre strength except the northern part of the state affected them. Yet they did well considering their assembly figure
And they expected to win one more Corporation, Karimnagar, where polling is on 25th