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Seamus Coffey Profile picture
Seamus Coffey
@seamuscoffey
Lecturer in Economics, University College Cork @UCC @EconomicsUCC. Chairperson, Irish Fiscal Advisory Council @IFAC_ie. Eisenhower Fellow @EF_Fellows @IrishEF
Jul 21, 2022 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
In recent weeks, the level of posts on RIP.ie has remained at a level above what might be expected for the time of year (using pre-COVID levels). July 2022 has been above all recent years (though some increase will be explicable by demographic factors). Preliminary estimates of excess mortality for Ireland provided by @CSOIreland to @EU_Eurostat now extend to May 2022. These show a similar pattern to the opening post (though caveated that they are based on the same primary data).
Jul 20, 2022 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
Figures from @CSOIreland published earlier today show the level-shift in government spending that arose due to the pandemic. General government expenditure seems set to remain over €100 billion. It previously topped out at €80 billion in 2009/10. @CSOIreland The government revenue series has been more volatile. The increase over the past 12 months is particularly noticeable – and it is more than just increases in Corporation Tax. Income Tax and VAT are also rising strongly.
Oct 19, 2021 • 8 tweets • 8 min read
Is Ireland using RIP.ie to provide weekly mortality figures to @EU_Eurostat?

First, here’s the regular update on the recent level of posts on https://t.co/O5V34UTYV7. It remains above what might typically be expected for this time of year. Image @EU_Eurostat And here are the full series in weekly form for the past seven years.

Since Week 29 (roughly the middle of July), 2021 has had a higher level of posts than all recent years. Image
Jun 16, 2020 • 14 tweets • 13 min read
International comparisons of the mortality impact of the COVID19 pandemic are fraught with difficulty. Almost all of them are faulty in one or, more likely, several ways.

At yesterday’s briefing @CMOIreland presented the following chart (this is the best version I could find). @CMOIreland Some of the statements given by @CMOIreland and the deputy CMO in relation to the chart are reported here, noting particularly the comments on Portugal:

thejournal.ie/excess-deaths-…
Jun 11, 2019 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
The latest report from @IFAC_ie was published this morning. There is a huge amount of analysis in it and is available from: fiscalcouncil.ie/fiscal-assessm…

Here’s a short thread with some selected highlights. The Irish economy continues to perform very well with employment and adjusted measures of domestic demand maintaining strong growth. The economy is now operating close to capacity.