🧵🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷🇾🇪🇯🇴 @TheAviationist has released very interesting images of USAF F-15E aircraft from the 366th Fighter Wing returning to the continental United States by way of RAF Mildenhall. These F-15E fighters were deployed to the CENTCOM area of responsibility, during which they are understood to have been based at Jordan's Muwaffaq as-Salti Air Base. The images indicate the large-scale expenditure of various munitions during this nine-month-long deployment. This includes AGR-20 (APKWS) semi-active laser homing guided rockets, presumably in an air-to-air role against the likes of Iranian Shahed-136 propeller-driven strike drones and similar. Moreover, the images indicate that just 11x USAF F-15E aircraft from the 366th Fighter Wing launched no fewer than 44x AGM-158 JASSM family air-launched cruise missiles during this deployment.


This set of six images indicates the employment of 22x AGM-158 JASSM air-launched land-attack cruise missiles.
See the following three links:
theaviationist.com/2025/07/18/f-1…
theaviationist.com/2025/07/20/fin…
instagram.com/stewartjackpho…

🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸 The @washingtonpost is attesting to the veracity of this recording. The WP translation from Persian is accurate. There are clearly explicit threats to not only kill this apparent senior IRGC officer **but also his wife and children.** This dynamic
washingtonpost.com/national-secur…


is not new - by all accounts, this has been Israel's playbook for years in Gaza, the West Bank, and Lebanon. It is also implicit/unstated in how Israel communicates with civilians, including in Iran:

https://x.com/shahpas/status/1935435126936158357

🇮🇷🇮🇱 A regular reminder that the penetration rate for Iran's ballistic missile, which is simply another way of expressing the interception rate of Israeli (+ American) ballistic missile defences and vice versa, is not of intrinsic importance. The exchange rate & arsenal size are.

https://twitter.com/shahpas/status/1934729951137136998

Wars are not highly regulated/scripted competitions in the manner of professional sports. There is no pre-determined conflict duration through which to game the rules/system. Wars can be, and often are, more about endurance than initial speed/performance.

https://x.com/shahpas/status/1933989813994336354

Some observations about the satellite images of targeted sites in Pakistan that have been disclosed by the Indian military.

https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/1921559408095662162

There are two runways at Pakistan Air Force (PAF) base Mushaf (which is near Sargodha). Yesterday I noted that there were two apparent craters on one of the two runways. Runway 14/32 was cratered in two areas while Runway 06/24 appeared to be undamaged.

https://x.com/shahpas/status/1921386608676209086

The J-10C (as well as the J-10A and J-10S) have a limited practical payload due to the combination of a low internal fuel fraction, the attendant imperative to use external fuel tanks, and the absence of wingtip weapons stations. Given this, twin launch racks for long-range AAMs
such as the PL-12 and PL-15 are very important. The two pictures posted above show a Pakistan Air Force (PAF) J-10CE with a pair of twin racks loaded with the PL-15. The J-10CE at the 2024 Zhuhai Airshow was on static display with a previously unseen centerline twin rack loaded

This video appears to show a PLAGF Z-10 attack helicopter practicing the approach and landing sequence involved in using merchant ships as a forward arming and refuelling point. The PLAGF operates most of the PLA's attack helicopters. Note that the PLAAF's Airborne Corps also... ...operates some attack helicopters (the Z-10K - pic 1), and a shipborne version of either the Z-10 or the new larger Z-21 (pics 2-3) is expected to eventually operate from the PLAN's large Type 075-class amphibious landing dock ships (pic 4).